Who's betting on “Will Lorenia Valles Sampedro win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 87% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 40 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $29K traded all time
- Held now
- $4.3K by 55 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 87% 32 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 47% 23 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 68¢ and No at 32¢, a 68% implied chance of Yes. $29K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on June 7, 2027.
The smart money
87% of the money on Yes and 47% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 40 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 39 points. A week ago, Yes by 38 points.
Who holds it
55 wallets hold a position worth $4.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 55 of them. The largest Yes holder is FrozenParasite, with $2.1K on it, $244K lifetime profit over 1,432 markets (71% won). The largest No holder is 74-75, with $384 on it, $2.5K lifetime loss over 94 markets (41% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $2.1K on Yes.
- Holders
- 32
- Money on it
- $3.2K
- Holders' win rate
- 71%
- Snipers
- 1 · $2.1K
- Holders
- 23
- Money on it
- $1.0K
- Holders' win rate
- 48%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$3.2K on it
- 1FrozenParasite71% won of 1,432 · sniper$2.1K+$244K lifetime
- 2Blue-Horseshoe91% won of 555 · balanced$367+$7.3K lifetime
- 3balabalababalabala75% won of 318$320−$58K lifetime
- 4Rr5572% won of 1,222 · whale$68+$39K lifetime
- 52020xb41% won of 66 · noise$57+$444 lifetime
No$1.0K on it
- 174-7541% won of 94$384−$2.5K lifetime
- 2Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed56% won of 15,956 · whale$153+$163K lifetime
- 3SnapElectionAvoider48% won of 2,239 · whale$103+$203K lifetime
- 4D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC3893558% won of 935 · whale$96+$85K lifetime
- 5Haradwaith50% won of 54,058$65−$377K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Lorenia Valles Sampedro win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?"?
55 wallets hold a position worth $4.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 55 of them. The largest Yes holder is FrozenParasite, with $2.1K on it, $244K lifetime profit over 1,432 markets (71% won). The largest No holder is 74-75, with $384 on it, $2.5K lifetime loss over 94 markets (41% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Lorenia Valles Sampedro win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 68¢ and No at 32¢, a 68% implied chance of Yes. $29K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on June 7, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
87% of the money on Yes and 47% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 40 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 39 points. A week ago, Yes by 38 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on June 7, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.