Who's betting on “Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 82% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 22 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $98K traded all time
- Held now
- $7.8K by 156 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 82% 76 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 60% 80 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 72¢ and No at 28¢, a 72% implied chance of Yes. $98K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on August 19, 2026.
The smart money
82% of the money on Yes and 60% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 22 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 25 points. A week ago, Yes by 22 points.
Who holds it
156 wallets hold a position worth $7.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 156 of them. The largest Yes holder is seal7, with $2.3K on it, $132K lifetime profit over 846 markets (59% won). The largest No holder is Haradwaith, with $154 on it, $377K lifetime loss over 54,058 markets (50% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $685 on Yes.
- Holders
- 76
- Money on it
- $6.8K
- Holders' win rate
- 66%
- Snipers
- 1 · $685
- Holders
- 80
- Money on it
- $986
- Holders' win rate
- 47%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$6.8K on it
- 1seal759% won of 846 · whale$2.3K+$132K lifetime
- 2FrozenParasite71% won of 1,432 · sniper$685+$244K lifetime
- 3JAMJAMJAM497% won of 835 · whale$680+$96K lifetime
- 4macrosteaks64% won of 2,614$385−$8.2K lifetime
- 5takeabreath77% won of 22 · balanced$286+$1.3K lifetime
No$986 on it
- 1Haradwaith50% won of 54,058$154−$377K lifetime
- 2donthackme29% won of 87,012 · noise$138+$829K lifetime
- 3cowcat68% won of 1,069 · whale$65+$72K lifetime
- 40x6b25…7a6953% won of 2,173 · whale$60+$19K lifetime
- 5e46m347% won of 87,779 · whale$57+$964K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Tallahassee Mayoral Election Winner
3 more- Al Lawson$23K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Jeremy Matlow$18K vol.Yes 28%No 72%Smart money: No
- Daryl Parks$12K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?"?
156 wallets hold a position worth $7.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 156 of them. The largest Yes holder is seal7, with $2.3K on it, $132K lifetime profit over 846 markets (59% won). The largest No holder is Haradwaith, with $154 on it, $377K lifetime loss over 54,058 markets (50% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 72¢ and No at 28¢, a 72% implied chance of Yes. $98K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on August 19, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
82% of the money on Yes and 60% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 22 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 25 points. A week ago, Yes by 22 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on August 19, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.