Who's betting on “Will Liberal–National win the most seats in the next Victorian state election?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $20K traded all time
- Held now
- $11K by 42 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 99% 16 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 95% 26 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 87¢ and No at 13¢, an 87% implied chance of Yes. $20K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 29, 2026.
The smart money
99% of the money on Yes and 95% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, Yes by 14 points.
Who holds it
42 wallets hold a position worth $11K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 42 of them. The largest Yes holder is Astera, with $9.0K on it, $61K lifetime profit over 164 markets (72% won). The largest No holder is probability, with $595 on it, $118K lifetime profit over 3,325 markets (31% won).
- Holders
- 16
- Money on it
- $9.7K
- Holders' win rate
- 71%
- Holders
- 26
- Money on it
- $1.1K
- Holders' win rate
- 47%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$9.7K on it
- 1Astera72% won of 164 · whale$9.0K+$61K lifetime
- 2SnapElectionAvoider48% won of 2,239 · whale$422+$203K lifetime
- 3Rr5572% won of 1,222 · whale$79+$39K lifetime
- 4Thebrowny591% won of 11$68−$61 lifetime
- 5neymarjr.santos76% won of 107 · balanced$48+$171 lifetime
No$1.1K on it
- 1probability31% won of 3,325 · noise$595+$118K lifetime
- 2SunlineTicker71% won of 1,522 · whale$363+$330K lifetime
- 3Nardez70% won of 157$22−$12K lifetime
- 4rocky4200254% won of 956 · whale$21+$8.1K lifetime
- 5Haradwaith50% won of 54,058$13−$377K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Liberal–National win the most seats in the next Victorian state election?"?
42 wallets hold a position worth $11K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 42 of them. The largest Yes holder is Astera, with $9.0K on it, $61K lifetime profit over 164 markets (72% won). The largest No holder is probability, with $595 on it, $118K lifetime profit over 3,325 markets (31% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Liberal–National win the most seats in the next Victorian state election?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 87¢ and No at 13¢, an 87% implied chance of Yes. $20K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 29, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
99% of the money on Yes and 95% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, Yes by 14 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 29, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.