Who's betting on “Will Lai Jui-lung win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $24K traded all time
- Held now
- $7.1K by 91 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 48% 44 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 47% 45 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 80¢ and No at 20¢, an 80% implied chance of Yes. $24K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 29, 2026.
The smart money
48% of the money on Yes and 47% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, No by 7 points.
Who holds it
91 wallets hold a position worth $7.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 89 of them. The largest Yes holder is macrosteaks, with $2.3K on it, $7.8K lifetime loss over 2,609 markets (64% won). The largest No holder is cigarettes, with $72 on it, $48K lifetime loss over 49,094 markets (46% won).
Sharp money
2 snipers (proven, high-edge traders) hold $494 on Yes.
- Holders
- 46
- Money on it
- $6.9K
- Holders' win rate
- 69%
- Snipers
- 2 · $494
- Holders
- 45
- Money on it
- $222
- Holders' win rate
- 55%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$6.9K on it
- 1macrosteaks64% won of 2,609$2.3K−$7.8K lifetime
- 2galtjay86% won of 14$841+$41 lifetime
- 3byzftycw89% won of 421 · balanced$555+$2.2K lifetime
- 40x7fD5E93A6Bb483cc1233620Dd5aD579f5ae4B12A-176352182160979% won of 209$551−$5.0K lifetime
- 50x39AaEd185b92e99a78249610cc14A589B764583C-175947098161649% won of 713 · whale$485+$119K lifetime
No$222 on it
- 1cigarettes46% won of 49,094$72−$48K lifetime
- 2chocolatepudding76% won of 507 · balanced$30+$17K lifetime
- 3blacksilver29% won of 7$21−$8.2K lifetime
- 4Bsau458% won of 396 · whale$12+$2.5K lifetime
- 5HerrieDavis63% won of 2,687 · whale$9+$325K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Lai Jui-lung win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?"?
91 wallets hold a position worth $7.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 89 of them. The largest Yes holder is macrosteaks, with $2.3K on it, $7.8K lifetime loss over 2,609 markets (64% won). The largest No holder is cigarettes, with $72 on it, $48K lifetime loss over 49,094 markets (46% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Lai Jui-lung win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 80¢ and No at 20¢, an 80% implied chance of Yes. $24K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 29, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
48% of the money on Yes and 47% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, No by 7 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 29, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.