Who's betting on “Will Kathy Hochul win Nassau County in the New York governor race in 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 90% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 41 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $13K traded all time
- Held now
- $1.3K by 48 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 90% 22 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 49% 26 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 26¢ and No at 75¢, a 75% implied chance of No. $13K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 3, 2026.
The smart money
90% of the money on Yes and 49% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 41 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 41 points. A week ago, Yes by 62 points.
Who holds it
48 wallets hold a position worth $1.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 48 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xE2B44168f9C361a06a64ED3Fe0E858634E883c5A-1764710056110, with $145 on it, $8.3K lifetime profit over 343 markets (48% won). The largest No holder is whispercatalyst, with $124 on it, $5.6K lifetime loss over 2,931 markets (49% won).
- Holders
- 22
- Money on it
- $692
- Holders' win rate
- 54%
- Holders
- 26
- Money on it
- $609
- Holders' win rate
- 45%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$692 on it
- 10xE2B44168f9C361a06a64ED3Fe0E858634E883c5A-176471005611048% won of 343 · balanced$145+$8.3K lifetime
- 20x6b25…7a6953% won of 2,186 · whale$143+$21K lifetime
- 3bananabreakfast48% won of 2,392 · balanced$68+$5.1K lifetime
- 4cosmicsteaks47% won of 4,326 · whale$65+$8.2K lifetime
- 5GirlOnFire70% won of 198 · balanced$54+$1.1K lifetime
No$609 on it
- 1whispercatalyst49% won of 2,931$124−$5.6K lifetime
- 20x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393843% won of 9,933 · whale$84+$129K lifetime
- 3xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,272 · noise$80+$254K lifetime
- 4LornaPredicts28% won of 15,917 · noise$75+$28K lifetime
- 5pootytherewardfarmer35% won of 10,703$51−$320K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in New York Governor Election: Nassau County Winner
1 moreOther big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Kathy Hochul win Nassau County in the New York governor race in 2026?"?
48 wallets hold a position worth $1.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 48 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xE2B44168f9C361a06a64ED3Fe0E858634E883c5A-1764710056110, with $145 on it, $8.3K lifetime profit over 343 markets (48% won). The largest No holder is whispercatalyst, with $124 on it, $5.6K lifetime loss over 2,931 markets (49% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Kathy Hochul win Nassau County in the New York governor race in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 26¢ and No at 75¢, a 75% implied chance of No. $13K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 3, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
90% of the money on Yes and 49% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 41 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 41 points. A week ago, Yes by 62 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 3, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.