Who's betting on “Will José Maria Neves win the Cape Verde presidential election?”?
Smart money leans No: 89% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 67 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $24K traded all time
- Held now
- $5.7K by 65 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 22% 27 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 89% 38 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 86¢ and No at 14¢, an 86% implied chance of Yes. $24K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 16, 2026.
The smart money
22% of the money on Yes and 89% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 67 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 68 points. A week ago, No by 68 points.
Who holds it
65 wallets hold a position worth $5.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 65 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x59798C88866B8fa5c297Eb5D76322C4b121bb24d-1767953812728, with $2.3K on it, $2.7K lifetime loss over 14 markets (64% won). The largest No holder is singularityman, with $179 on it, $78K lifetime profit over 360 markets (76% won).
Sharp money
2 snipers (proven, high-edge traders) hold $315 on No.
- Holders
- 27
- Money on it
- $5.0K
- Holders' win rate
- 62%
- Holders
- 38
- Money on it
- $690
- Holders' win rate
- 66%
- Snipers
- 2 · $315
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$5.0K on it
- 10x59798C88866B8fa5c297Eb5D76322C4b121bb24d-176795381272864% won of 14$2.3K−$2.7K lifetime
- 20x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-178340600939647% won of 78,800$712−$4.0M lifetime
- 3alpha.chen73% won of 256$709−$12K lifetime
- 4SnapElectionAvoider48% won of 2,242 · whale$492+$203K lifetime
- 5Rr5572% won of 1,222 · whale$197+$39K lifetime
No$690 on it
- 1singularityman76% won of 360 · sniper$179+$78K lifetime
- 2wallet-account-test68% won of 214 · balanced$145+$4.2K lifetime
- 3FrozenParasite71% won of 1,432 · sniper$136+$244K lifetime
- 4D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC3893558% won of 935 · whale$72+$85K lifetime
- 5CDReves60% won of 232 · balanced$29+$3.5K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will José Maria Neves win the Cape Verde presidential election?"?
65 wallets hold a position worth $5.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 65 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x59798C88866B8fa5c297Eb5D76322C4b121bb24d-1767953812728, with $2.3K on it, $2.7K lifetime loss over 14 markets (64% won). The largest No holder is singularityman, with $179 on it, $78K lifetime profit over 360 markets (76% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will José Maria Neves win the Cape Verde presidential election?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 86¢ and No at 14¢, an 86% implied chance of Yes. $24K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 16, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
22% of the money on Yes and 89% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 67 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 68 points. A week ago, No by 68 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 16, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.