Who's betting on “Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by December 31, 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 45% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 36 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $37K traded all time
- Held now
- $18K by 71 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 9% 34 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 45% 37 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $37K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
9% of the money on Yes and 45% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 36 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 35 points. A week ago, No by 91 points.
Who holds it
71 wallets hold a position worth $18K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 71 of them. The largest Yes holder is becc, with $259 on it, $1.2K lifetime loss over 1 markets (100% won). The largest No holder is StudentMoney, with $9.4K on it, $168K lifetime loss over 1,146 markets (69% won).
- Holders
- 34
- Money on it
- $492
- Holders' win rate
- 77%
- Holders
- 37
- Money on it
- $17K
- Holders' win rate
- 72%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$492 on it
- 1becc100% won of 1$259−$1.2K lifetime
- 2CloudCactus88% won of 209$151−$31K lifetime
- 3Gethrono record yet$15+$0 lifetime
- 4Nadmi35% won of 1,251 · noise$14+$154K lifetime
- 5planktonXD76% won of 6,321 · whale$11+$132K lifetime
No$17K on it
- 1StudentMoney69% won of 1,146$9.4K−$168K lifetime
- 2DFK81% won of 771 · whale$3.6K+$42K lifetime
- 3nicoco8965% won of 1,030 · whale$1.7K+$121K lifetime
- 4DontTrustMe87% won of 125 · balanced$1.0K+$9.9K lifetime
- 5knrad62% won of 1,121 · whale$421+$40K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by December 31, 2026?"?
71 wallets hold a position worth $18K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 71 of them. The largest Yes holder is becc, with $259 on it, $1.2K lifetime loss over 1 markets (100% won). The largest No holder is StudentMoney, with $9.4K on it, $168K lifetime loss over 1,146 markets (69% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by December 31, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $37K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
9% of the money on Yes and 45% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 36 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 35 points. A week ago, No by 91 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.