Who's betting on “Will Joint List win 12 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $46K traded all time
- Held now
- $13K by 105 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 93% 60 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 88% 41 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 42¢ and No at 58¢, a 58% implied chance of No. $46K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 30, 2026.
The smart money
93% of the money on Yes and 88% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides.
Who holds it
105 wallets hold a position worth $13K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 101 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xe312101A6EA5c00821B74e2855c2674147B2e0b2-1730831637679, with $4.5K on it, $91K lifetime profit over 35 markets (46% won). The largest No holder is 0x0DccfaE62418c61D2F9A642e88Df39702D8Bd87c-1764932904403, with $1.4K on it, $19K lifetime profit over 186 markets (82% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $27 on Yes.
- Holders
- 63
- Money on it
- $9.9K
- Holders' win rate
- 48%
- Snipers
- 1 · $27
- Holders
- 42
- Money on it
- $3.3K
- Holders' win rate
- 69%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$9.9K on it
- 10xe312101A6EA5c00821B74e2855c2674147B2e0b2-173083163767946% won of 35 · noise$4.5K+$91K lifetime
- 20x6bAB66c4BB24c96Ed14dccA0f0979B38a6830FE5-176070367496065% won of 391 · whale$1.6K+$123K lifetime
- 30x3653235d75A0d5969C42f7514d4Df8eA5F8CEF74-17788118175798% won of 32,274 · noise$945+$27K lifetime
- 4jpceia70% won of 54 · balanced$613+$6.9K lifetime
- 50x1e34…2bd8no record yet$418
No$3.3K on it
- 10x0DccfaE62418c61D2F9A642e88Df39702D8Bd87c-176493290440382% won of 186 · whale$1.4K+$19K lifetime
- 2nope305061% won of 169 · balanced$350+$4.0K lifetime
- 3thanksforplayin58% won of 2,163 · whale$267+$262K lifetime
- 4ninetyfourpercent69% won of 13$202+$11 lifetime
- 5pagliacci493% won of 1,552$178−$15K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Joint List win 12 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?"?
105 wallets hold a position worth $13K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 101 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xe312101A6EA5c00821B74e2855c2674147B2e0b2-1730831637679, with $4.5K on it, $91K lifetime profit over 35 markets (46% won). The largest No holder is 0x0DccfaE62418c61D2F9A642e88Df39702D8Bd87c-1764932904403, with $1.4K on it, $19K lifetime profit over 186 markets (82% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Joint List win 12 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 42¢ and No at 58¢, a 58% implied chance of No. $46K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 30, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
93% of the money on Yes and 88% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 30, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.