Who's betting on “Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?”?
Polkyo has not scored enough holders on both sides yet to say where the smart money sits. It fills in as people trade.
- Volume
- $11K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.6K by 59 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- - 37 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- - 22 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 43¢ and No at 57¢, a 57% implied chance of No. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on April 18, 2027.
The smart money
One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.
Who holds it
59 wallets hold a position worth $2.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 59 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xe515c01B6aD6f49796C408501D7183997A2c4739-1779892860612, with $324 on it, $119 lifetime loss over 192 markets (86% won). The largest No holder is Haradwaith, with $359 on it, $381K lifetime loss over 60,779 markets (50% won).
- Holders
- 37
- Money on it
- $1.9K
- Holders' win rate
- 65%
- Holders
- 22
- Money on it
- $745
- Holders' win rate
- 56%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$1.9K on it
- 10xe515c01B6aD6f49796C408501D7183997A2c4739-177989286061286% won of 192$324−$119 lifetime
- 2PascalPro64% won of 87 · balanced$307+$2.7K lifetime
- 3Antony8266% won of 808 · balanced$213+$4.3K lifetime
- 4flovertaco59% won of 295 · whale$199+$24K lifetime
- 5Megakronos37% won of 73$147−$332 lifetime
No$745 on it
- 1Haradwaith50% won of 60,779$359−$381K lifetime
- 2sweetj65% won of 514 · whale$240+$11K lifetime
- 3BigMidAss83% won of 6$46+$13 lifetime
- 4lolzzzlol19% won of 46,421$28−$100K lifetime
- 5xtxpleasecallme39% won of 142,870 · noise$27+$271K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in French Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
2 moreOther big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$77M vol.Yes 18%No 83%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$46M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?"?
59 wallets hold a position worth $2.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 59 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xe515c01B6aD6f49796C408501D7183997A2c4739-1779892860612, with $324 on it, $119 lifetime loss over 192 markets (86% won). The largest No holder is Haradwaith, with $359 on it, $381K lifetime loss over 60,779 markets (50% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 43¢ and No at 57¢, a 57% implied chance of No. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on April 18, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on April 18, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.