Who's betting on “Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by October 31?”?
Politics · $11K volume · Ends November 1, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
44% of the money on Yes and 93% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 49 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 49 points. A week ago, No by 59 points.
26 wallets hold a position worth $1.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 26 of them. The largest Yes holder is Dr.PNL, with $4 on it, $476K lifetime loss over 13,845 markets (30% won). The largest No holder is Wowiwow, with $653 on it, $19K lifetime profit over 327 markets (81% won).
- Smart money share
- 44%
- Holders
- 16
- Money on it
- $9
- Holders' winrate
- 46%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 93%
- Holders
- 10
- Money on it
- $1.1K
- Holders' winrate
- 79%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dr.PNL | $4 | -$476K | 30% of 13,845 |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.whale | $1 | +$20K | 98% of 821 |
| flexer78noise | $1 | +$573 | 34% of 3,252 |
| AJSVwhale | $1 | +$218K | 41% of 102,827 |
| Fihdrzgdd | $1 | -$19K | 39% of 3,063 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wowiwowbalanced | $653 | +$19K | 81% of 327 |
| Poorywhale | $191 | +$28K | 75% of 220 |
| Talophexwhale | $99 | +$43K | 94% of 1,057 |
| GuyFromTinder | $50 | -$82K | 38% of 17,755 |
| EconProfbalanced | $42 | +$307 | 83% of 384 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?
- December 31$534K vol.Yes 8%No 93%Smart money: No
- September 30$20K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
Who's betting on Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…? →
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by October 31?"?
26 wallets hold a position worth $1.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 26 of them. The largest Yes holder is Dr.PNL, with $4 on it, $476K lifetime loss over 13,845 markets (30% won). The largest No holder is Wowiwow, with $653 on it, $19K lifetime profit over 327 markets (81% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by October 31?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
44% of the money on Yes and 93% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 49 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 49 points. A week ago, No by 59 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 1, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.