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Who's betting on “Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?”?

Politics$98K traded127 holdersEnds January 1, 2027Updated October 29, 2026
7%Yes
93%No

Polkyo has not scored enough holders on both sides yet to say where the smart money sits. It fills in as people trade.

Volume
$98K
traded all time
Held now
$4.9K
by 127 wallets
Smart share · Yes
-
70 scored holders
Smart share · No
-
57 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 7¢ and No at 93¢, a 93% implied chance of No. $98K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

The smart money

One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.

Who holds it

127 wallets hold a position worth $4.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 127 of them. The largest Yes holder is lunlovesyou, with $54 on it, $935 lifetime profit over 4 markets (75% won). The largest No holder is MEPP, with $1.2K on it, $559K lifetime profit over 1,084 markets (62% won).

Yes7%
Smart money share-
Holders
70
Money on it
$362
Holders' win rate
46%
No93%
Smart money share-
Holders
57
Money on it
$4.5K
Holders' win rate
69%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$362 on it

  1. 1lunlovesyou75% won of 4$54+$935 lifetime
  2. 2LornaPredicts28% won of 16,259 · noise$42+$28K lifetime
  3. 30x37EA8cD1e66025E4f78301124F995E793d1dF395-176001898671814% won of 263$31−$683 lifetime
  4. 40x8B5A2A371DE832fC1750c1E1E97Fa5496C30B95D-176175536074062% won of 232$30−$6.2K lifetime
  5. 50xAa3A46A1DA050ef359f7A126ab3565312808E29a-177194364773530% won of 205$29−$2.5K lifetime

No$4.5K on it

  1. 1MEPP62% won of 1,084 · whale$1.2K+$559K lifetime
  2. 2denizz66% won of 1,012 · whale$1.0K+$2.3M lifetime
  3. 3YasH77% won of 201 · balanced$542+$1.7K lifetime
  4. 40x64c28c0EEf3514b473% won of 204 · whale$463+$15K lifetime
  5. 5citizen-a89% won of 19$208+$100 lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?"?

127 wallets hold a position worth $4.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 127 of them. The largest Yes holder is lunlovesyou, with $54 on it, $935 lifetime profit over 4 markets (75% won). The largest No holder is MEPP, with $1.2K on it, $559K lifetime profit over 1,084 markets (62% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 7¢ and No at 93¢, a 93% implied chance of No. $98K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

Which side is the smart money on?

One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.