Who's betting on “Will Iran legalize gay marriage?”?
Smart money leans No: 94% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 70 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $83K traded all time
- Held now
- $17K by 221 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 25% 78 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 94% 142 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $83K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
25% of the money on Yes and 94% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 70 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 66 points. A week ago, No by 71 points.
Who holds it
221 wallets hold a position worth $17K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 220 of them. The largest Yes holder is neutralwave23, with $158 on it, $3.0M lifetime loss over 30,906 markets (71% won). The largest No holder is GironaNite, with $3.4K on it, $6.1K lifetime profit over 195 markets (92% won).
- Holders
- 79
- Money on it
- $315
- Holders' win rate
- 62%
- Holders
- 142
- Money on it
- $16K
- Holders' win rate
- 83%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$315 on it
- 1neutralwave2371% won of 30,906$158−$3.0M lifetime
- 2PolarOpposite61% won of 18$22−$347 lifetime
- 3PaddyAlpha69% won of 402 · whale$15+$56K lifetime
- 4Kalags53% won of 205 · whale$10+$68K lifetime
- 50x180c…9538no record yet$8−$1 lifetime
No$16K on it
- 1GironaNite92% won of 195 · balanced$3.4K+$6.1K lifetime
- 20x8931…a90c95% won of 609 · whale$3.2K+$29K lifetime
- 3Krass86% won of 201 · balanced$1.4K+$14K lifetime
- 4wazzzzzap95% won of 182 · grinder$1.3K+$2.0K lifetime
- 5funguy198882% won of 166 · balanced$981+$87 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Iran legalize gay marriage?"?
221 wallets hold a position worth $17K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 220 of them. The largest Yes holder is neutralwave23, with $158 on it, $3.0M lifetime loss over 30,906 markets (71% won). The largest No holder is GironaNite, with $3.4K on it, $6.1K lifetime profit over 195 markets (92% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Iran legalize gay marriage?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $83K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
25% of the money on Yes and 94% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 70 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 66 points. A week ago, No by 71 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.