Who's betting on “Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 4.50%?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 96% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 72 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $28K traded all time
- Held now
- $4.3K by 67 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 96% 37 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 24% 30 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 95¢ and No at 5¢, a 95% implied chance of Yes. $28K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 13, 2027.
The smart money
96% of the money on Yes and 24% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 72 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 70 points. A week ago, Yes by 75 points.
Who holds it
67 wallets hold a position worth $4.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 67 of them. The largest Yes holder is FrozenParasite, with $3.6K on it, $244K lifetime profit over 1,432 markets (71% won). The largest No holder is Haradwaith, with $32 on it, $377K lifetime loss over 53,968 markets (50% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $3.6K on Yes.
- Holders
- 37
- Money on it
- $4.2K
- Holders' win rate
- 70%
- Snipers
- 1 · $3.6K
- Holders
- 30
- Money on it
- $96
- Holders' win rate
- 40%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$4.2K on it
- 1FrozenParasite71% won of 1,432 · sniper$3.6K+$244K lifetime
- 2Elias.Thornwell69% won of 3,134 · whale$97+$570 lifetime
- 3xiaoaojiang92% won of 77$81−$60 lifetime
- 4zeitfi-vault-v260% won of 926 · balanced$54+$868 lifetime
- 5Golu1381% won of 80 · balanced$53+$341 lifetime
No$96 on it
- 1Haradwaith50% won of 53,968$32−$377K lifetime
- 2xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,242 · noise$20+$255K lifetime
- 3Oklmntrader13% won of 577$15−$173K lifetime
- 4Dr.PNL30% won of 15,261$11−$485K lifetime
- 5ViscaElBarca1% won of 12,734$4−$65K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in India Annual Inflation 2026
2 more- 3.75% to 4.49%$33K vol.Yes 2%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- 2.25% to 2.99%$27K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Other big economy markets
- US recession by end of 2026?$2.4M vol.Yes 7%No 94%Smart money: No
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.7M vol.Yes 78%No 23%Smart money split
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?$1.7M vol.Yes 20%No 80%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.5M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Another Fed rate hike in 2026?$1.2M vol.Yes 78%No 23%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?$950K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?$324K vol.Yes 31%No 70%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 4.50%?"?
67 wallets hold a position worth $4.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 67 of them. The largest Yes holder is FrozenParasite, with $3.6K on it, $244K lifetime profit over 1,432 markets (71% won). The largest No holder is Haradwaith, with $32 on it, $377K lifetime loss over 53,968 markets (50% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 4.50%?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 95¢ and No at 5¢, a 95% implied chance of Yes. $28K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 13, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
96% of the money on Yes and 24% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 72 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 70 points. A week ago, Yes by 75 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 13, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.