Who's betting on “Will Ilhan Omar be deported by December 31, 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 97% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 33 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $103K traded all time
- Held now
- $28K by 60 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 65% 26 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 97% 31 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $103K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
65% of the money on Yes and 97% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 33 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 25 points. A week ago, No by 40 points.
Who holds it
60 wallets hold a position worth $28K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 57 of them. The largest Yes holder is fledger, with $463 on it, $455 lifetime profit over 51 markets (88% won). The largest No holder is Car, with $12K on it, $1.5M lifetime profit over 1,784 markets (58% won).
- Holders
- 28
- Money on it
- $793
- Holders' win rate
- 79%
- Holders
- 32
- Money on it
- $27K
- Holders' win rate
- 61%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$793 on it
No$27K on it
- 1Car58% won of 1,784 · whale$12K+$1.5M lifetime
- 2tetrase65% won of 1,216 · whale$9.7K+$973K lifetime
- 3ArmageddonRewardsBilly45% won of 4,063 · whale$1.8K+$313K lifetime
- 4QMG-CORE73% won of 1,224 · whale$1.2K+$57K lifetime
- 5sbimbg84% won of 1,403 · whale$492+$115K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Ilhan Omar be deported by December 31, 2026?"?
60 wallets hold a position worth $28K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 57 of them. The largest Yes holder is fledger, with $463 on it, $455 lifetime profit over 51 markets (88% won). The largest No holder is Car, with $12K on it, $1.5M lifetime profit over 1,784 markets (58% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Ilhan Omar be deported by December 31, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $103K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
65% of the money on Yes and 97% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 33 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 25 points. A week ago, No by 40 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.