Who's betting on “Will Humberto Costa win the second-most votes in the 2026 Pernambuco Senate election?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 84% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 32 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $11K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.6K by 43 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 84% 22 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 52% 21 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 59¢ and No at 41¢, a 59% implied chance of Yes. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 5, 2026.
The smart money
84% of the money on Yes and 52% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 32 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 32 points. A week ago, Yes by 32 points.
Who holds it
43 wallets hold a position worth $2.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 43 of them. The largest Yes holder is Seeking-Alpha01, with $696 on it, $4.6K lifetime profit over 318 markets (65% won). The largest No holder is lava-lava, with $178 on it, $1.2M lifetime profit over 1,655 markets (47% won).
- Holders
- 22
- Money on it
- $2.0K
- Holders' win rate
- 69%
- Holders
- 21
- Money on it
- $549
- Holders' win rate
- 60%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$2.0K on it
- 1Seeking-Alpha0165% won of 318 · balanced$696+$4.6K lifetime
- 2balthazar53% won of 52,697 · whale$413+$1.2M lifetime
- 3GroovyCr0c0dil351% won of 405 · balanced$230+$1.5K lifetime
- 4OswaldMcFurther62% won of 79$178−$33K lifetime
- 5sleepymonkey41% won of 539$177−$9.2K lifetime
No$549 on it
- 1lava-lava47% won of 1,655 · whale$178+$1.2M lifetime
- 2balabalababalabala75% won of 318$90−$58K lifetime
- 3tradetosurvive145% won of 25,346$76−$217K lifetime
- 4JAMJAMJAM497% won of 836 · whale$70+$97K lifetime
- 5xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,324 · noise$27+$254K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Pernambuco Senate Election: 2nd Place
1 moreOther big politics markets
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- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Humberto Costa win the second-most votes in the 2026 Pernambuco Senate election?"?
43 wallets hold a position worth $2.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 43 of them. The largest Yes holder is Seeking-Alpha01, with $696 on it, $4.6K lifetime profit over 318 markets (65% won). The largest No holder is lava-lava, with $178 on it, $1.2M lifetime profit over 1,655 markets (47% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Humberto Costa win the second-most votes in the 2026 Pernambuco Senate election?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 59¢ and No at 41¢, a 59% implied chance of Yes. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 5, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
84% of the money on Yes and 52% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 32 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 32 points. A week ago, Yes by 32 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 5, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.