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Who's betting on “Will Ho Hsin-chun win the next Taichung Mayor election?”?

Politics$16K traded50 holdersEnds November 29, 2026Updated October 29, 2026
16%Yes
84%No🧠 smart money

Smart money leans No: 54% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 18 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$16K
traded all time
Held now
$3.1K
by 50 wallets
Smart share · Yes
36%
24 scored holders
Smart share · No
54%
24 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 16¢ and No at 84¢, an 84% implied chance of No. $16K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 29, 2026.

The smart money

36% of the money on Yes and 54% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 18 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 20 points. A week ago, No by 16 points.

Who holds it

50 wallets hold a position worth $3.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 48 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xB9B85b9d6942644ACb634c4913B2aCB8bDd338B6-1781835650405, with $267 on it, $13K lifetime loss over 8 markets (25% won). The largest No holder is macrosteaks, with $567 on it, $8.2K lifetime loss over 2,637 markets (64% won).

Yes16%
Smart money share36% ▲ 4 pts in 24 h
7 days ago 37%a day ago 33%now 36%
Holders
25
Money on it
$1.3K
Holders' win rate
48%
No84%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share54% ▲ 1 pts in 24 h
7 days ago 52%a day ago 53%now 54%
Holders
25
Money on it
$1.8K
Holders' win rate
61%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$1.3K on it

  1. 10xB9B85b9d6942644ACb634c4913B2aCB8bDd338B6-178183565040525% won of 8$267−$13K lifetime
  2. 20953fmmiio80% won of 5$237+$301 lifetime
  3. 3TLfantasy50% won of 4$203−$30 lifetime
  4. 40xd262…27e5no record yet$178
  5. 5Gohst47% won of 1,056 · whale$97+$298K lifetime

No$1.8K on it

  1. 1macrosteaks64% won of 2,637$567−$8.2K lifetime
  2. 2buoys46% won of 1,244 · whale$338+$83K lifetime
  3. 3oneoftheppl58% won of 855 · whale$131+$13K lifetime
  4. 4Tingo202661% won of 206$126−$730 lifetime
  5. 5cosmicsteaks47% won of 4,326 · whale$114+$8.2K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
Free on Polkyo

See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Ho Hsin-chun win the next Taichung Mayor election?"?

50 wallets hold a position worth $3.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 48 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xB9B85b9d6942644ACb634c4913B2aCB8bDd338B6-1781835650405, with $267 on it, $13K lifetime loss over 8 markets (25% won). The largest No holder is macrosteaks, with $567 on it, $8.2K lifetime loss over 2,637 markets (64% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Ho Hsin-chun win the next Taichung Mayor election?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 16¢ and No at 84¢, an 84% implied chance of No. $16K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 29, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

36% of the money on Yes and 54% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 18 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 20 points. A week ago, No by 16 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 29, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.