Who's betting on “Will Helder win the most votes in the 2026 Pará Senate election?”?
Smart money leans No: 87% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 54 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $30K traded all time
- Held now
- $16K by 91 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 33% 52 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 87% 39 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 96¢ and No at 4¢, a 96% implied chance of Yes. $30K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 5, 2026.
The smart money
33% of the money on Yes and 87% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 54 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 59 points. A week ago, No by 54 points.
Who holds it
91 wallets hold a position worth $16K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 91 of them. The largest Yes holder is MSFTQQQ, with $8.6K on it, $21K lifetime loss over 56 markets (80% won). The largest No holder is lava-lava, with $308 on it, $1.2M lifetime profit over 1,655 markets (47% won).
Sharp money
2 snipers (proven, high-edge traders) hold $925 on Yes.
- Holders
- 52
- Money on it
- $15K
- Holders' win rate
- 66%
- Snipers
- 2 · $925
- Holders
- 39
- Money on it
- $446
- Holders' win rate
- 52%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$15K on it
- 1MSFTQQQ80% won of 56$8.6K−$21K lifetime
- 2dsjkfbc59% won of 115 · balanced$1.0K+$1.1K lifetime
- 3BiDiFakePolls74% won of 346 · sniper$912+$126K lifetime
- 40x1cd57643518BEc34f97A1Da1b846E3B6b7AF5551-176891281938665% won of 137 · balanced$724+$1.6K lifetime
- 5Gabrielborne55% won of 49$577−$1.1K lifetime
No$446 on it
- 1lava-lava47% won of 1,655 · whale$308+$1.2M lifetime
- 2Dr.PNL30% won of 15,261$21−$485K lifetime
- 3donthackme29% won of 86,904 · noise$16+$829K lifetime
- 4D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC3893558% won of 935 · whale$12+$85K lifetime
- 5Haradwaith50% won of 53,968$12−$377K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
Other big politics markets
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- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Helder win the most votes in the 2026 Pará Senate election?"?
91 wallets hold a position worth $16K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 91 of them. The largest Yes holder is MSFTQQQ, with $8.6K on it, $21K lifetime loss over 56 markets (80% won). The largest No holder is lava-lava, with $308 on it, $1.2M lifetime profit over 1,655 markets (47% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Helder win the most votes in the 2026 Pará Senate election?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 96¢ and No at 4¢, a 96% implied chance of Yes. $30K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 5, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
33% of the money on Yes and 87% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 54 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 59 points. A week ago, No by 54 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 5, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.