Who's betting on “Will Gyanesh Kumar be out as Chief Election Commissioner of India by December 31?”?
Smart money leans No: 70% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 56 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $32K traded all time
- Held now
- $16K by 118 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 13% 54 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 70% 64 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 16¢ and No at 84¢, an 84% implied chance of No. $32K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
13% of the money on Yes and 70% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 56 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 57 points. A week ago, No by 60 points.
Who holds it
118 wallets hold a position worth $16K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 118 of them. The largest Yes holder is bd.boy, with $1.6K on it, $3.9K lifetime loss over 812 markets (39% won). The largest No holder is 0x834191a479261b32e522b738520b8d53a315de8, with $6.0K on it, $27K lifetime profit over 254 markets (45% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $131 on No.
- Holders
- 54
- Money on it
- $2.5K
- Holders' win rate
- 45%
- Holders
- 64
- Money on it
- $13K
- Holders' win rate
- 60%
- Snipers
- 1 · $131
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$2.5K on it
- 1bd.boy39% won of 812$1.6K−$3.9K lifetime
- 2nostradamust47% won of 137$176−$1.5K lifetime
- 3Golu1381% won of 80 · balanced$139+$341 lifetime
- 4HerrieDavis63% won of 2,687 · whale$68+$325K lifetime
- 5alonemusk62% won of 29$66−$20 lifetime
No$13K on it
- 10x834191a479261b32e522b738520b8d53a315de845% won of 254 · noise$6.0K+$27K lifetime
- 2iloveyield76% won of 207$2.3K−$2.4K lifetime
- 3iHaveBeenPwned80% won of 5$1.1K+$2.3K lifetime
- 4melonmanm58% won of 986 · whale$588+$56K lifetime
- 5teraghata60% won of 5$495+$977 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Gyanesh Kumar be out as Chief Election Commissioner of India by December 31?"?
118 wallets hold a position worth $16K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 118 of them. The largest Yes holder is bd.boy, with $1.6K on it, $3.9K lifetime loss over 812 markets (39% won). The largest No holder is 0x834191a479261b32e522b738520b8d53a315de8, with $6.0K on it, $27K lifetime profit over 254 markets (45% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Gyanesh Kumar be out as Chief Election Commissioner of India by December 31?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 16¢ and No at 84¢, an 84% implied chance of No. $32K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
13% of the money on Yes and 70% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 56 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 57 points. A week ago, No by 60 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.