Who's betting on “Will Guilherme Derrite win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $88K traded all time
- Held now
- $56K by 235 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 69% 114 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 70% 120 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
This market closed on October 5, 2026. $88K has been traded on it.
The smart money
69% of the money on Yes and 70% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned No, by 8 points. A week ago it was split.
Who holds it
235 wallets hold a position worth $56K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 234 of them.
- Holders
- 115
- Money on it
- $54K
- Holders' win rate
- 73%
- Holders
- 120
- Money on it
- $2.0K
- Holders' win rate
- 59%
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in São Paulo Senate Election: 1st Place
3 more- Marina Silva$37K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Simone Tebet$33K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money split
- André do Prado$12K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Guilherme Derrite win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?"?
235 wallets hold a position worth $56K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 234 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Guilherme Derrite win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?"?
This market closed on October 5, 2026. $88K has been traded on it.
Which side is the smart money on?
69% of the money on Yes and 70% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned No, by 8 points. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
This market closed on October 5, 2026. $88K has been traded on it.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.