Who's betting on “Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 90% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 76 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $52K traded all time
- Held now
- $4.5K by 116 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 13% 64 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 90% 52 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $52K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
13% of the money on Yes and 90% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 76 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 76 points. A week ago, No by 76 points.
Who holds it
116 wallets hold a position worth $4.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 116 of them. The largest Yes holder is TemniiKitty, with $12 on it, $125 lifetime loss over 13 markets (38% won). The largest No holder is cowcat, with $2.1K on it, $72K lifetime profit over 1,069 markets (68% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $12 on No.
- Holders
- 64
- Money on it
- $86
- Holders' win rate
- 55%
- Holders
- 52
- Money on it
- $4.4K
- Holders' win rate
- 75%
- Snipers
- 1 · $12
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$86 on it
- 1TemniiKitty38% won of 13$12−$125 lifetime
- 2Akex7667% won of 24$10−$630 lifetime
- 3ololololololololo62% won of 114$8−$101K lifetime
- 4Dze567% won of 6$8−$1.1K lifetime
- 5Numitus199449% won of 15,786$8−$28K lifetime
No$4.4K on it
- 1cowcat68% won of 1,069 · whale$2.1K+$72K lifetime
- 25728491088% won of 25 · balanced$969+$2.9K lifetime
- 364MGX75VLQ98% won of 267 · grinder$294+$7.8K lifetime
- 40x7baFcbc9247f98f19d2b5432ad654122bF451eDa-177893096288876% won of 45 · balanced$294+$176 lifetime
- 5Tenebrus766% won of 1,613 · whale$182+$154K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?"?
116 wallets hold a position worth $4.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 116 of them. The largest Yes holder is TemniiKitty, with $12 on it, $125 lifetime loss over 13 markets (38% won). The largest No holder is cowcat, with $2.1K on it, $72K lifetime profit over 1,069 markets (68% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $52K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
13% of the money on Yes and 90% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 76 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 76 points. A week ago, No by 76 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.