Who's betting on “Will France pass a national budget by December 31?”?
Smart money leans No: 82% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 53 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $22K traded all time
- Held now
- $5.7K by 100 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 28% 42 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 82% 58 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 53¢ and No at 48¢, a 53% implied chance of Yes. $22K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2026.
The smart money
28% of the money on Yes and 82% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 53 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 55 points. A week ago, No by 50 points.
Who holds it
100 wallets hold a position worth $5.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 100 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xe605…ac5f, with $1.8K on it, $6.4K lifetime loss over 257 markets (29% won). The largest No holder is buoys, with $496 on it, $83K lifetime profit over 1,244 markets (46% won).
- Holders
- 42
- Money on it
- $3.0K
- Holders' win rate
- 44%
- Holders
- 58
- Money on it
- $2.7K
- Holders' win rate
- 58%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$3.0K on it
- 10xe605…ac5f29% won of 257$1.8K−$6.4K lifetime
- 2Newshound73% won of 1,051 · whale$495+$73K lifetime
- 3Skaliz85% won of 208 · whale$124+$16K lifetime
- 40x9925…baa369% won of 216 · balanced$71+$338 lifetime
- 5tikkag55% won of 20$50−$48 lifetime
No$2.7K on it
- 1buoys46% won of 1,244 · whale$496+$83K lifetime
- 2revol65% won of 228 · whale$371+$5.0K lifetime
- 3Toncar1644% won of 268 · noise$365+$117K lifetime
- 4Jydyjyd57% won of 277 · whale$190+$29K lifetime
- 5TheWindKnowsmyName68% won of 490$121−$52K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will France pass a national budget by December 31?"?
100 wallets hold a position worth $5.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 100 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xe605…ac5f, with $1.8K on it, $6.4K lifetime loss over 257 markets (29% won). The largest No holder is buoys, with $496 on it, $83K lifetime profit over 1,244 markets (46% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will France pass a national budget by December 31?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 53¢ and No at 48¢, a 53% implied chance of Yes. $22K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
28% of the money on Yes and 82% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 53 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 55 points. A week ago, No by 50 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on December 31, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.