Who's betting on “Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 89% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 47 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $118K traded all time
- Held now
- $34K by 157 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 89% 92 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 42% 65 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 14¢ and No at 86¢, an 86% implied chance of No. $118K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
89% of the money on Yes and 42% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 47 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 47 points. A week ago, Yes by 50 points.
Who holds it
157 wallets hold a position worth $34K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 157 of them. The largest Yes holder is SwissMiss, with $3.5K on it, $156K lifetime profit over 1,002 markets (61% won). The largest No holder is TheWindKnowsmyName, with $4.4K on it, $53K lifetime loss over 482 markets (68% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $1.3K on No.
- Holders
- 92
- Money on it
- $4.8K
- Holders' win rate
- 61%
- Holders
- 65
- Money on it
- $29K
- Holders' win rate
- 58%
- Snipers
- 1 · $1.3K
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$4.8K on it
- 1SwissMiss61% won of 1,002 · whale$3.5K+$156K lifetime
- 2Newshound73% won of 1,051 · whale$169+$73K lifetime
- 3WALLYFIGHTS74% won of 408$166−$111K lifetime
- 4D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC3893558% won of 935 · whale$155+$85K lifetime
- 50xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-177694439549523% won of 12,148 · noise$81+$334K lifetime
No$29K on it
- 1TheWindKnowsmyName68% won of 482$4.4K−$53K lifetime
- 2BoBoBunny67% won of 3$2.9K−$136 lifetime
- 30x9b1F993FAFD41Fe7EECB5C13a219cbe6EE0bF250-177835042875063% won of 16$2.9K+$3.6K lifetime
- 4Investman33% won of 24$2.7K−$966 lifetime
- 5littlebird55% won of 149$2.2K−$42K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?"?
157 wallets hold a position worth $34K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 157 of them. The largest Yes holder is SwissMiss, with $3.5K on it, $156K lifetime profit over 1,002 markets (61% won). The largest No holder is TheWindKnowsmyName, with $4.4K on it, $53K lifetime loss over 482 markets (68% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 14¢ and No at 86¢, an 86% implied chance of No. $118K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
89% of the money on Yes and 42% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 47 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 47 points. A week ago, Yes by 50 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.