Who's betting on “Will Esthela Damián Peralta win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?”?
Smart money leans No: 100% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 13 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $33K traded all time
- Held now
- $14K by 56 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 86% 31 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 100% 25 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $33K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on June 7, 2027.
The smart money
86% of the money on Yes and 100% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 13 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 12 points. A week ago, No by 13 points.
Who holds it
56 wallets hold a position worth $14K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 56 of them. The largest Yes holder is Gohst, with $433 on it, $298K lifetime profit over 1,056 markets (47% won). The largest No holder is FrozenParasite, with $9.8K on it, $244K lifetime profit over 1,432 markets (71% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $9.8K on No.
- Holders
- 31
- Money on it
- $698
- Holders' win rate
- 50%
- Holders
- 25
- Money on it
- $14K
- Holders' win rate
- 71%
- Snipers
- 1 · $9.8K
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$698 on it
- 1Gohst47% won of 1,056 · whale$433+$298K lifetime
- 2troim66% won of 819 · whale$81+$90K lifetime
- 30x871265% won of 206$81−$4.0K lifetime
- 4fiter17% won of 842 · noise$34+$50K lifetime
- 5spencer-dev20-a255c43% won of 7$22+$286 lifetime
No$14K on it
- 1FrozenParasite71% won of 1,432 · sniper$9.8K+$244K lifetime
- 2archaic86% won of 1,473 · whale$2.1K+$197K lifetime
- 3SnapElectionAvoider48% won of 2,239 · whale$1.1K+$203K lifetime
- 4Elias.Thornwell69% won of 3,134 · whale$262+$570 lifetime
- 50xc24f…220b52% won of 361 · balanced$132+$436 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Esthela Damián Peralta win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?"?
56 wallets hold a position worth $14K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 56 of them. The largest Yes holder is Gohst, with $433 on it, $298K lifetime profit over 1,056 markets (47% won). The largest No holder is FrozenParasite, with $9.8K on it, $244K lifetime profit over 1,432 markets (71% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Esthela Damián Peralta win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $33K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on June 7, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
86% of the money on Yes and 100% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 13 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 12 points. A week ago, No by 13 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on June 7, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.