Who's betting on “Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 84% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 6 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $11K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.9K by 88 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 78% 43 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 84% 45 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
78% of the money on Yes and 84% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 6 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 6 points.
Who holds it
88 wallets hold a position worth $2.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 88 of them. The largest Yes holder is aliceodernichts, with $37 on it, $4.1K lifetime profit over 34 markets (62% won). The largest No holder is DegenerateJanet, with $1.1K on it, $27K lifetime profit over 672 markets (83% won).
- Holders
- 43
- Money on it
- $107
- Holders' win rate
- 53%
- Holders
- 45
- Money on it
- $2.8K
- Holders' win rate
- 77%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$107 on it
- 1aliceodernichts62% won of 34 · balanced$37+$4.1K lifetime
- 2Nadmi35% won of 1,251 · noise$9+$154K lifetime
- 3Enjoy7227% won of 200$7−$2.1K lifetime
- 4b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.98% won of 3,362 · whale$6+$22K lifetime
- 5TimoTao48% won of 200 · balanced$6+$82 lifetime
No$2.8K on it
- 1DegenerateJanet83% won of 672 · whale$1.1K+$27K lifetime
- 2Olcan70% won of 645 · whale$469+$45K lifetime
- 3erik5073% won of 200 · balanced$223+$4.1K lifetime
- 4Newshound73% won of 1,051 · whale$186+$73K lifetime
- 5testtesttest1111111111100% won of 2$159+$0 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
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- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?"?
88 wallets hold a position worth $2.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 88 of them. The largest Yes holder is aliceodernichts, with $37 on it, $4.1K lifetime profit over 34 markets (62% won). The largest No holder is DegenerateJanet, with $1.1K on it, $27K lifetime profit over 672 markets (83% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
78% of the money on Yes and 84% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 6 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 6 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.