Who's betting on “Will Dems win fewer than 8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 72% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 64 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $11K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.5K by 62 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 72% 45 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 8% 16 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 27, 2026.
The smart money
72% of the money on Yes and 8% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 64 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 67 points.
Who holds it
62 wallets hold a position worth $2.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 61 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xf57d…7e56, with $49 on it. The largest No holder is yerubaalAA, with $1.8K on it, $1.6K lifetime loss over 195 markets (77% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $5 on Yes.
- Holders
- 46
- Money on it
- $138
- Holders' win rate
- 46%
- Snipers
- 1 · $5
- Holders
- 16
- Money on it
- $2.4K
- Holders' win rate
- 74%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$138 on it
- 10xf57d…7e56no record yet$49
- 2xtxpleasecallme40% won of 124,069 · noise$16+$258K lifetime
- 3LornaPredicts28% won of 16,132 · noise$14+$28K lifetime
- 4lava-lava47% won of 1,655 · whale$13+$1.2M lifetime
- 5rocky4200448% won of 802$10−$16K lifetime
No$2.4K on it
- 1yerubaalAA77% won of 195$1.8K−$1.6K lifetime
- 2cigarettes46% won of 49,726$308−$52K lifetime
- 30xbb5ED77bb948487842c14d9918FC09BCee2eaD2c-177093204863195% won of 222 · balanced$102+$403 lifetime
- 4svandoorne99% won of 122$63+$97 lifetime
- 5SF2375% won of 67$36−$324 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
Other big politics markets
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- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Dems win fewer than 8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?"?
62 wallets hold a position worth $2.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 61 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xf57d…7e56, with $49 on it. The largest No holder is yerubaalAA, with $1.8K on it, $1.6K lifetime loss over 195 markets (77% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Dems win fewer than 8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 27, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
72% of the money on Yes and 8% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 64 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 67 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 27, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.