Who's betting on “Will Democrats win exactly 9 House seats in Michigan in the 2026 midterm elections?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $10K traded all time
- Held now
- $1.2K by 37 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 37% 17 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 39% 20 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 36¢ and No at 64¢, a 64% implied chance of No. $10K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
37% of the money on Yes and 39% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned No, by 6 points.
Who holds it
37 wallets hold a position worth $1.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 37 of them. The largest Yes holder is resilience26, with $188 on it, $13K lifetime loss over 3,262 markets (56% won). The largest No holder is macrosteaks, with $158 on it, $8.2K lifetime loss over 2,637 markets (64% won).
- Holders
- 17
- Money on it
- $685
- Holders' win rate
- 50%
- Holders
- 20
- Money on it
- $546
- Holders' win rate
- 54%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$685 on it
- 1resilience2656% won of 3,262$188−$13K lifetime
- 2RadioCCOD38% won of 208 · noise$183+$9.4K lifetime
- 3AnEggplant46% won of 317$164−$5.7K lifetime
- 40xd0d9…30f268% won of 319$27−$125 lifetime
- 5zeitfi-vault-v260% won of 934 · balanced$22+$868 lifetime
No$546 on it
- 1macrosteaks64% won of 2,637$158−$8.2K lifetime
- 2whispercatalyst49% won of 2,931$115−$5.6K lifetime
- 3cosmicsteaks47% won of 4,326 · whale$110+$8.2K lifetime
- 4xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,511 · noise$51+$254K lifetime
- 5balabalababalabala75% won of 318$25−$58K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Democrats win exactly 9 House seats in Michigan in the 2026 midterm elections?"?
37 wallets hold a position worth $1.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 37 of them. The largest Yes holder is resilience26, with $188 on it, $13K lifetime loss over 3,262 markets (56% won). The largest No holder is macrosteaks, with $158 on it, $8.2K lifetime loss over 2,637 markets (64% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Democrats win exactly 9 House seats in Michigan in the 2026 midterm elections?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 36¢ and No at 64¢, a 64% implied chance of No. $10K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
37% of the money on Yes and 39% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned No, by 6 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.