Who's betting on “Will Democrats win exactly 5 House seats in North Carolina in the 2026 midterm elections?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $12K traded all time
- Held now
- $4.1K by 51 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 48% 30 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 50% 21 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 45¢ and No at 55¢, a 55% implied chance of No. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
48% of the money on Yes and 50% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides.
Who holds it
51 wallets hold a position worth $4.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 51 of them. The largest Yes holder is resilience26, with $770 on it, $13K lifetime loss over 3,262 markets (56% won). The largest No holder is 0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938, with $542 on it, $127K lifetime profit over 9,618 markets (42% won).
- Holders
- 30
- Money on it
- $2.3K
- Holders' win rate
- 61%
- Holders
- 21
- Money on it
- $1.7K
- Holders' win rate
- 46%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$2.3K on it
- 1resilience2656% won of 3,262$770−$13K lifetime
- 20x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-176165628427161% won of 6,267 · whale$443+$64K lifetime
- 3ifyouloveme49% won of 512 · whale$209+$17K lifetime
- 4RememberAmalek73% won of 1,128 · whale$206+$819K lifetime
- 5haouibao98% won of 90$99−$196 lifetime
No$1.7K on it
- 10x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393842% won of 9,618 · whale$542+$127K lifetime
- 2whispercatalyst49% won of 2,921$259−$6.0K lifetime
- 3ABC1234565432148% won of 5,905$233−$1.2K lifetime
- 4cigarettes46% won of 49,151$170−$48K lifetime
- 574-7541% won of 94$138−$2.5K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Democrats win exactly 5 House seats in North Carolina in the 2026 midterm elections?"?
51 wallets hold a position worth $4.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 51 of them. The largest Yes holder is resilience26, with $770 on it, $13K lifetime loss over 3,262 markets (56% won). The largest No holder is 0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938, with $542 on it, $127K lifetime profit over 9,618 markets (42% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Democrats win exactly 5 House seats in North Carolina in the 2026 midterm elections?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 45¢ and No at 55¢, a 55% implied chance of No. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
48% of the money on Yes and 50% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.