Who's betting on “Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 90% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 48 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $46K traded all time
- Held now
- $15K by 151 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 90% 57 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 42% 94 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 57¢ and No at 43¢, a 57% implied chance of Yes. $46K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
90% of the money on Yes and 42% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 48 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 26 points. A week ago, Yes by 12 points.
Who holds it
151 wallets hold a position worth $15K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 151 of them. The largest Yes holder is Mangy62, with $2.8K on it, $13K lifetime profit over 204 markets (80% won). The largest No holder is anoin123, with $2.4K on it, $4.7M lifetime loss over 1,608 markets (59% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $355 on No.
- Holders
- 57
- Money on it
- $8.8K
- Holders' win rate
- 69%
- Holders
- 94
- Money on it
- $6.6K
- Holders' win rate
- 63%
- Snipers
- 1 · $355
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$8.8K on it
- 1Mangy6280% won of 204 · balanced$2.8K+$13K lifetime
- 2RememberAmalek73% won of 1,128 · whale$2.4K+$819K lifetime
- 3anciano48% won of 1,252 · whale$978+$37K lifetime
- 4AxelTapper100% won of 1$314+$6 lifetime
- 5Didakos73% won of 205$303−$7.0K lifetime
No$6.6K on it
- 1anoin12359% won of 1,608$2.4K−$4.7M lifetime
- 2meteortrex75% won of 48 · balanced$577+$256 lifetime
- 3FrozenParasite71% won of 1,432 · sniper$355+$244K lifetime
- 4asdasdasdasdasdasdasd76% won of 241 · balanced$301+$23K lifetime
- 5SitsToPee53% won of 2,065 · whale$258+$48K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?"?
151 wallets hold a position worth $15K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 151 of them. The largest Yes holder is Mangy62, with $2.8K on it, $13K lifetime profit over 204 markets (80% won). The largest No holder is anoin123, with $2.4K on it, $4.7M lifetime loss over 1,608 markets (59% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 57¢ and No at 43¢, a 57% implied chance of Yes. $46K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
90% of the money on Yes and 42% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 48 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 26 points. A week ago, Yes by 12 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.