Who's betting on “Will Core PCE YoY be 3.0% in September?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 74% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 18 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $15K traded all time
- Held now
- $981 by 143 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 74% 71 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 56% 72 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 21¢ and No at 79¢, a 79% implied chance of No. $15K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 29, 2026.
The smart money
74% of the money on Yes and 56% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 18 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 11 points. A week ago, Yes by 15 points.
Who holds it
143 wallets hold a position worth $981 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 143 of them.
- Holders
- 71
- Money on it
- $333
- Holders' win rate
- 52%
- Holders
- 72
- Money on it
- $648
- Holders' win rate
- 62%
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
Other big economy markets
- US recession by end of 2026?$2.4M vol.Yes 7%No 94%Smart money: No
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.7M vol.Yes 78%No 23%Smart money split
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?$1.7M vol.Yes 20%No 81%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.5M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Another Fed rate hike in 2026?$1.2M vol.Yes 78%No 23%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?$953K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?$324K vol.Yes 31%No 70%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Core PCE YoY be 3.0% in September?"?
143 wallets hold a position worth $981 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 143 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Core PCE YoY be 3.0% in September?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 21¢ and No at 79¢, a 79% implied chance of No. $15K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 29, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
74% of the money on Yes and 56% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 18 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 11 points. A week ago, Yes by 15 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 29, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.