Who's betting on “Will Connie Chan win the CA-11 House seat?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $15K traded all time
- Held now
- $8.1K by 46 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 6% 21 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 7% 25 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 21¢ and No at 80¢, an 80% implied chance of No. $15K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
6% of the money on Yes and 7% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
Who holds it
46 wallets hold a position worth $8.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 46 of them. The largest Yes holder is anoin123, with $1.7K on it, $4.7M lifetime loss over 1,608 markets (59% won). The largest No holder is macrosteaks, with $5.6K on it, $8.2K lifetime loss over 2,614 markets (64% won).
- Holders
- 21
- Money on it
- $2.1K
- Holders' win rate
- 60%
- Holders
- 25
- Money on it
- $6.1K
- Holders' win rate
- 63%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$2.1K on it
- 1anoin12359% won of 1,608$1.7K−$4.7M lifetime
- 2GUINESS12370% won of 547$107−$59K lifetime
- 3Lsa100% won of 1$62−$72 lifetime
- 4Snoopyfan80% won of 217 · whale$41+$30K lifetime
- 5reid9970% won of 274 · balanced$30+$1.8K lifetime
No$6.1K on it
- 1macrosteaks64% won of 2,614$5.6K−$8.2K lifetime
- 2anciano49% won of 1,299 · whale$138+$37K lifetime
- 3cosmicsteaks47% won of 4,326 · whale$135+$8.2K lifetime
- 4tradetosurvive145% won of 25,344$57−$217K lifetime
- 5kittycat6771% won of 303 · balanced$57+$1.5K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Connie Chan win the CA-11 House seat?"?
46 wallets hold a position worth $8.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 46 of them. The largest Yes holder is anoin123, with $1.7K on it, $4.7M lifetime loss over 1,608 markets (59% won). The largest No holder is macrosteaks, with $5.6K on it, $8.2K lifetime loss over 2,614 markets (64% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Connie Chan win the CA-11 House seat?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 21¢ and No at 80¢, an 80% implied chance of No. $15K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
6% of the money on Yes and 7% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.