Who's betting on “Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.3%?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $12K traded all time
- Held now
- $1.3K by 101 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 79% 76 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 80% 24 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
This market closed on October 19, 2026 and resolved No. $12K has been traded on it.
The smart money
79% of the money on Yes and 80% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A week ago it was split.
Who holds it
101 wallets hold a position worth $1.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 100 of them.
- Holders
- 77
- Money on it
- $3
- Holders' win rate
- 53%
- Holders
- 24
- Money on it
- $1.3K
- Holders' win rate
- 66%
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q3 2026?
2 more- 4.3-4.6%$34K vol. · ClosedYes 98%No 2%Smart money: No
- 4.6-4.9%$20K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
Other big economy markets
- US recession by end of 2026?$2.4M vol.Yes 6%No 95%Smart money: No
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.7M vol.Yes 78%No 23%Smart money split
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?$1.7M vol.Yes 21%No 80%Smart money split
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.5M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Another Fed rate hike in 2026?$1.2M vol.Yes 78%No 23%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?$959K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?$324K vol.Yes 31%No 70%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.3%?"?
101 wallets hold a position worth $1.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 100 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.3%?"?
This market closed on October 19, 2026 and resolved No. $12K has been traded on it.
Which side is the smart money on?
79% of the money on Yes and 80% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
This market closed on October 19, 2026 and resolved No. $12K has been traded on it.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.