Who's betting on “Will Chen Su-yueh win the next Changhua County Magistrate election?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 57% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 14 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $11K traded all time
- Held now
- $1.3K by 25 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 57% 6 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 43% 19 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 90¢ and No at 11¢, a 90% implied chance of Yes. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 29, 2026.
The smart money
57% of the money on Yes and 43% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 14 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 14 points.
Who holds it
25 wallets hold a position worth $1.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 25 of them. The largest Yes holder is NVIDIAAA, with $460 on it, $2.9K lifetime loss over 2 markets (50% won). The largest No holder is 74-75, with $18 on it, $2.5K lifetime loss over 94 markets (41% won).
- Holders
- 6
- Money on it
- $1.3K
- Holders' win rate
- 53%
- Holders
- 19
- Money on it
- $64
- Holders' win rate
- 45%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$1.3K on it
- 1NVIDIAAA50% won of 2$460−$2.9K lifetime
- 2ArmageddonRewardsBilly45% won of 4,063 · whale$377+$313K lifetime
- 3The-Dove56% won of 201 · balanced$310+$1.6K lifetime
- 4lan831487% won of 15$90−$280 lifetime
- 5mustbethewater45% won of 27,616 · whale$18+$74K lifetime
No$64 on it
- 174-7541% won of 94$18−$2.5K lifetime
- 2xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,324 · noise$11+$254K lifetime
- 30x45e6Df48cCF5d1773D509C97052F819690cEC078-178211120799855% won of 2,232 · balanced$5+$2.1K lifetime
- 4Numitus199449% won of 15,786$5−$28K lifetime
- 5SmartBoyBilly58% won of 2,620$4−$9.0K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Chen Su-yueh win the next Changhua County Magistrate election?"?
25 wallets hold a position worth $1.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 25 of them. The largest Yes holder is NVIDIAAA, with $460 on it, $2.9K lifetime loss over 2 markets (50% won). The largest No holder is 74-75, with $18 on it, $2.5K lifetime loss over 94 markets (41% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Chen Su-yueh win the next Changhua County Magistrate election?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 90¢ and No at 11¢, a 90% implied chance of Yes. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 29, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
57% of the money on Yes and 43% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 14 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 14 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 29, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.