Who's betting on “Will Champi peak as a Violent typhoon?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 96% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 18 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $13K traded all time
- Held now
- $4.3K by 44 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 96% 24 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 77% 20 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 98¢ and No at 2¢, a 98% implied chance of Yes. $13K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 30, 2026.
The smart money
96% of the money on Yes and 77% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 18 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 18 points. A week ago, Yes by 19 points.
Who holds it
44 wallets hold a position worth $4.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 44 of them. The largest Yes holder is 1walrus, with $2.1K on it, $38K lifetime profit over 1,303 markets (60% won). The largest No holder is 123987456, with $5 on it, $50K lifetime profit over 2,427 markets (44% won).
- Holders
- 24
- Money on it
- $4.3K
- Holders' win rate
- 64%
- Holders
- 20
- Money on it
- $31
- Holders' win rate
- 44%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$4.3K on it
- 11walrus60% won of 1,303 · whale$2.1K+$38K lifetime
- 2w...73% won of 600 · whale$491+$20K lifetime
- 3Blue-Horseshoe91% won of 545 · balanced$412+$6.9K lifetime
- 4jonej67% won of 433 · balanced$289+$4.6K lifetime
- 5donthackme29% won of 87,062 · noise$179+$829K lifetime
No$31 on it
- 112398745644% won of 2,427 · whale$5+$50K lifetime
- 2LornaPredicts28% won of 15,896 · noise$5+$28K lifetime
- 30x8f6970acd7c9466fc1d09a7c17071705c8e52923-179243706475847% won of 827$4−$8.4K lifetime
- 4xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,253 · noise$3+$255K lifetime
- 5Hugin-og-Munin42% won of 15,651 · whale$3+$21K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in How strong will Champi be?
1 moreOther big weather markets
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- 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$834K vol.Yes 2%No 99%Smart money: No
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?$801K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$360K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$340K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$335K vol.Yes 8%No 92%Smart money: No
- Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?$276K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Champi peak as a Violent typhoon?"?
44 wallets hold a position worth $4.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 44 of them. The largest Yes holder is 1walrus, with $2.1K on it, $38K lifetime profit over 1,303 markets (60% won). The largest No holder is 123987456, with $5 on it, $50K lifetime profit over 2,427 markets (44% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Champi peak as a Violent typhoon?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 98¢ and No at 2¢, a 98% implied chance of Yes. $13K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 30, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
96% of the money on Yes and 77% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 18 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 18 points. A week ago, Yes by 19 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 30, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.