Who's betting on “Will Rafa Luz win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?”?
Smart money leans No: 100% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 25 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $26K traded all time
- Held now
- $27 by 65 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 75% 64 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 100% 1 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
This market closed on October 16, 2026 and resolved No. $26K has been traded on it.
The smart money
75% of the money on Yes and 100% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 25 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 74 points. A week ago, No by 25 points.
Who holds it
65 wallets hold a position worth $27 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 65 of them.
- Holders
- 64
- Money on it
- $27
- Holders' win rate
- 42%
- Holders
- 1
- Money on it
- $0
- Holders' win rate
- 46%
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner
12 more- Eduardo Paes$249K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Douglas Ruas$166K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: No
- Fred Pacheco$142K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money split
- Felipe Curi$36K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Anthony Garotinho$32K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Colonel Busnello$22K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- André Ceciliano$20K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money split
- Wilson Witzel$20K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money split
- Dr. Luizinho$19K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Tarcísio Motta$17K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money split
- Chico Machado$16K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Lindbergh Farias$16K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money split
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- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Rafa Luz win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?"?
65 wallets hold a position worth $27 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 65 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Rafa Luz win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?"?
This market closed on October 16, 2026 and resolved No. $26K has been traded on it.
Which side is the smart money on?
75% of the money on Yes and 100% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 25 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 74 points. A week ago, No by 25 points.
When does this market end?
This market closed on October 16, 2026 and resolved No. $26K has been traded on it.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.