
Who's betting on “Will Brendan Blomeley win the next Clarence mayoral election?”?
Smart money leans No: 53% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 8 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $12K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.4K by 57 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 45% 28 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 53% 29 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 97¢ and No at 3¢, a 97% implied chance of Yes. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 28, 2026.
The smart money
45% of the money on Yes and 53% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 8 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 8 points.
Who holds it
57 wallets hold a position worth $2.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 57 of them. The largest Yes holder is macrosteaks, with $760 on it, $7.8K lifetime loss over 2,609 markets (64% won). The largest No holder is xtxpleasecallme, with $13 on it, $255K lifetime profit over 123,242 markets (40% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $85 on Yes.
- Holders
- 28
- Money on it
- $2.4K
- Holders' win rate
- 61%
- Snipers
- 1 · $85
- Holders
- 29
- Money on it
- $37
- Holders' win rate
- 46%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$2.4K on it
- 1macrosteaks64% won of 2,609$760−$7.8K lifetime
- 2cosmicsteaks47% won of 4,324 · whale$547+$8.2K lifetime
- 3MSFTQQQ80% won of 56$173−$21K lifetime
- 40x6b25…7a6953% won of 2,160 · whale$156+$18K lifetime
- 5bananabreakfast48% won of 2,392 · balanced$147+$5.1K lifetime
No$37 on it
- 1xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,242 · noise$13+$255K lifetime
- 2frontiertrade38% won of 1,200$4−$2.1K lifetime
- 3pootytherewardfarmer35% won of 10,703$4−$320K lifetime
- 4tradetosurvive145% won of 25,331$3−$217K lifetime
- 5Numitus199449% won of 15,720$3−$28K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
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- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Brendan Blomeley win the next Clarence mayoral election?"?
57 wallets hold a position worth $2.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 57 of them. The largest Yes holder is macrosteaks, with $760 on it, $7.8K lifetime loss over 2,609 markets (64% won). The largest No holder is xtxpleasecallme, with $13 on it, $255K lifetime profit over 123,242 markets (40% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Brendan Blomeley win the next Clarence mayoral election?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 97¢ and No at 3¢, a 97% implied chance of Yes. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 28, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
45% of the money on Yes and 53% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 8 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 8 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 28, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.