Who's betting on “Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?”?
Smart money leans No: 93% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 70 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $89K traded all time
- Held now
- $23K by 142 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 23% 92 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 93% 49 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 68¢ and No at 33¢, a 68% implied chance of Yes. $89K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 17, 2027.
The smart money
23% of the money on Yes and 93% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 70 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 67 points. A week ago, No by 66 points.
Who holds it
142 wallets hold a position worth $23K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 141 of them. The largest Yes holder is Asotele, with $4.7K on it, $3.8K lifetime loss over 14 markets (86% won). The largest No holder is RememberAmalek, with $2.9K on it, $819K lifetime profit over 1,128 markets (73% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $172 on Yes.
- Holders
- 93
- Money on it
- $17K
- Holders' win rate
- 74%
- Snipers
- 1 · $172
- Holders
- 49
- Money on it
- $6.0K
- Holders' win rate
- 63%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$17K on it
- 1Asotele86% won of 14$4.7K−$3.8K lifetime
- 2hippopol83% won of 6$4.6K−$3.7K lifetime
- 3LBOJ54% won of 203 · whale$1.9K+$3.6K lifetime
- 40x49F20662% won of 862$680−$41K lifetime
- 50x8f6970acd7c9466fc1d09a7c17071705c8e52923-179243706475847% won of 827$573−$8.4K lifetime
No$6.0K on it
- 1RememberAmalek73% won of 1,128 · whale$2.9K+$819K lifetime
- 2realbengvir53% won of 49 · noise$1.2K+$27K lifetime
- 3SnapElectionAvoider48% won of 2,239 · whale$713+$203K lifetime
- 4buoys46% won of 1,244 · whale$489+$83K lifetime
- 5Bigmanstarzy76% won of 161$264−$1.8K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Nigerian Presidential Election Winner
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- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?"?
142 wallets hold a position worth $23K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 141 of them. The largest Yes holder is Asotele, with $4.7K on it, $3.8K lifetime loss over 14 markets (86% won). The largest No holder is RememberAmalek, with $2.9K on it, $819K lifetime profit over 1,128 markets (73% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 68¢ and No at 33¢, a 68% implied chance of Yes. $89K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 17, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
23% of the money on Yes and 93% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 70 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 67 points. A week ago, No by 66 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 17, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.