Who's betting on “Will Blake Miguez be the Republican nominee for LA-05?”?
Smart money leans No: 88% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 50 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $32K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.6K by 78 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 38% 31 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 88% 47 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 6¢ and No at 94¢, a 94% implied chance of No. $32K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on May 17, 2026.
The smart money
38% of the money on Yes and 88% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 50 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 49 points. A week ago it was split.
Who holds it
78 wallets hold a position worth $2.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 78 of them. The largest Yes holder is thinkingmansgame, with $100 on it, $1.3K lifetime loss over 235 markets (50% won). The largest No holder is cowcat, with $738 on it, $72K lifetime profit over 1,069 markets (68% won).
- Holders
- 31
- Money on it
- $202
- Holders' win rate
- 53%
- Holders
- 47
- Money on it
- $2.4K
- Holders' win rate
- 65%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$202 on it
- 1thinkingmansgame50% won of 235$100−$1.3K lifetime
- 20x82001288E3B1f5dd413E3126a34E1583BAdedF37-176954556911772% won of 201 · balanced$32+$11K lifetime
- 30x1ab0…f8c918% won of 154 · noise$12+$500 lifetime
- 4Rr5572% won of 1,222 · whale$12+$39K lifetime
- 50xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-177694439549523% won of 12,148 · noise$6+$334K lifetime
No$2.4K on it
- 1cowcat68% won of 1,069 · whale$738+$72K lifetime
- 2predictiondiablo55% won of 399 · whale$290+$42K lifetime
- 3cosmicsteaks47% won of 4,326 · whale$192+$8.2K lifetime
- 4shiifoo52% won of 4,741 · whale$183+$46K lifetime
- 5Spectrum76% won of 487 · whale$175+$9.0K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Blake Miguez be the Republican nominee for LA-05?"?
78 wallets hold a position worth $2.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 78 of them. The largest Yes holder is thinkingmansgame, with $100 on it, $1.3K lifetime loss over 235 markets (50% won). The largest No holder is cowcat, with $738 on it, $72K lifetime profit over 1,069 markets (68% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Blake Miguez be the Republican nominee for LA-05?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 6¢ and No at 94¢, a 94% implied chance of No. $32K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on May 17, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
38% of the money on Yes and 88% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 50 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 49 points. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on May 17, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.