Who's betting on “Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 71% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 24 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $88K traded all time
- Held now
- $3.4K by 149 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 71% 82 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 46% 66 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $88K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 3, 2026.
The smart money
71% of the money on Yes and 46% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 24 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 24 points. A week ago, Yes by 29 points.
Who holds it
149 wallets hold a position worth $3.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 148 of them. The largest Yes holder is bernardbulletin, with $25 on it, $198K lifetime profit over 1,124 markets (75% won). The largest No holder is moneymakingmachine, with $1.3K on it, $12K lifetime loss over 1,109 markets (58% won).
- Holders
- 83
- Money on it
- $134
- Holders' win rate
- 60%
- Holders
- 66
- Money on it
- $3.3K
- Holders' win rate
- 56%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$134 on it
- 1bernardbulletin75% won of 1,124 · whale$25+$198K lifetime
- 2ansatz76% won of 205 · balanced$12+$1.6K lifetime
- 3spartatrading44% won of 1,291 · whale$10+$27K lifetime
- 4Knowyourball51% won of 267$10−$1.3K lifetime
- 5claudelover100% won of 4$9+$541 lifetime
No$3.3K on it
- 1moneymakingmachine58% won of 1,109$1.3K−$12K lifetime
- 2ifyouloveme49% won of 512 · whale$326+$17K lifetime
- 3Gohst47% won of 1,056 · whale$171+$298K lifetime
- 40x91c3…409f45% won of 432$159+$9.1K lifetime
- 5thursdays62% won of 302 · whale$135+$10K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Who will Bernie endorse?
4 more- Antonio Delgado - NY-Gov$25K vol.Yes 3%No 98%Smart money: No
- Kshama Sawant - WA-09$19K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Zach Wahls - IA-Sen$17K vol.Yes 3%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- Alan Grayson - FL-Sen$14K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: Yes
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?"?
149 wallets hold a position worth $3.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 148 of them. The largest Yes holder is bernardbulletin, with $25 on it, $198K lifetime profit over 1,124 markets (75% won). The largest No holder is moneymakingmachine, with $1.3K on it, $12K lifetime loss over 1,109 markets (58% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $88K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 3, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
71% of the money on Yes and 46% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 24 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 24 points. A week ago, Yes by 29 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 3, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.