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Who's betting on “Will Argentina dollarize by December 31, 2026?”?

Politics$20K traded30 holdersEnds January 1, 2027Updated October 29, 2026
2%Yes
98%No🧠 smart money

Smart money leans No: 95% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 18 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$20K
traded all time
Held now
$2.7K
by 30 wallets
Smart share · Yes
78%
22 scored holders
Smart share · No
95%
8 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $20K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

The smart money

78% of the money on Yes and 95% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 18 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 18 points. A week ago, No by 16 points.

Who holds it

30 wallets hold a position worth $2.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 30 of them. The largest Yes holder is PaddyAlpha, with $31 on it, $56K lifetime profit over 402 markets (69% won). The largest No holder is AnCap.Investor, with $2.1K on it, $3.8K lifetime profit over 233 markets (57% won).

Yes2%
Smart money share78%
7 days ago 79%a day ago 78%now 78%
Holders
22
Money on it
$61
Holders' win rate
58%
No98%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share95%
7 days ago 95%a day ago 95%now 95%
Holders
8
Money on it
$2.6K
Holders' win rate
61%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$61 on it

  1. 1PaddyAlpha69% won of 402 · whale$31+$56K lifetime
  2. 20xc7e8…b56096% won of 55 · grinder$7+$490 lifetime
  3. 3LornaPredicts28% won of 15,917 · noise$5+$28K lifetime
  4. 4Dr.PNL30% won of 15,294$4−$485K lifetime
  5. 5thecaricature44% won of 717$4−$7.9K lifetime

No$2.6K on it

  1. 1AnCap.Investor57% won of 233 · balanced$2.1K+$3.8K lifetime
  2. 20xaF409E50577BD9cba48378656548A2D28D1a5662-177237781027386% won of 169 · balanced$351+$991 lifetime
  3. 3betyourgf100% won of 1$111−$9 lifetime
  4. 40x71cb…226670% won of 20$43+$74 lifetime
  5. 5Edmol73% won of 11$10−$116 lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
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See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Argentina dollarize by December 31, 2026?"?

30 wallets hold a position worth $2.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 30 of them. The largest Yes holder is PaddyAlpha, with $31 on it, $56K lifetime profit over 402 markets (69% won). The largest No holder is AnCap.Investor, with $2.1K on it, $3.8K lifetime profit over 233 markets (57% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Argentina dollarize by December 31, 2026?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $20K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

Which side is the smart money on?

78% of the money on Yes and 95% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 18 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 18 points. A week ago, No by 16 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.