Who's betting on “Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?”?
Smart money leans No: 94% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 66 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $143K traded all time
- Held now
- $5.8K by 162 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 28% 91 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 94% 71 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $143K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
28% of the money on Yes and 94% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 66 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 66 points. A week ago, No by 65 points.
Who holds it
162 wallets hold a position worth $5.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 162 of them. The largest Yes holder is Andrey17, with $26 on it, $795 lifetime loss over 49 markets (43% won). The largest No holder is PassiveStrike, with $1.9K on it, $253 lifetime profit over 214 markets (36% won).
- Holders
- 91
- Money on it
- $157
- Holders' win rate
- 58%
- Holders
- 71
- Money on it
- $5.7K
- Holders' win rate
- 58%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$157 on it
- 1Andrey1743% won of 49$26−$795 lifetime
- 20xA24D66D1e4da30f8E8cc0D637B406A150Ef76f2A-176680552050562% won of 99$18−$2.4K lifetime
- 3Dmacc56% won of 200 · balanced$11+$9 lifetime
- 4arsarmandino record yet$11−$56 lifetime
- 5orim2393% won of 14$9−$95 lifetime
No$5.7K on it
- 1PassiveStrike36% won of 214 · noise$1.9K+$253 lifetime
- 2johnnyA72% won of 888 · whale$1.4K+$25K lifetime
- 3Polyticks57% won of 135 · balanced$487+$15K lifetime
- 4boring99961% won of 203 · balanced$334+$5.7K lifetime
- 5dsoperative87% won of 239 · whale$195+$11K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
Other big weather markets
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?$19M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$6.5M vol.Yes 7%No 93%Smart money: No
- 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$834K vol.Yes 2%No 99%Smart money: No
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?$802K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$360K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$340K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$335K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?$276K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?"?
162 wallets hold a position worth $5.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 162 of them. The largest Yes holder is Andrey17, with $26 on it, $795 lifetime loss over 49 markets (43% won). The largest No holder is PassiveStrike, with $1.9K on it, $253 lifetime profit over 214 markets (36% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $143K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
28% of the money on Yes and 94% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 66 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 66 points. A week ago, No by 65 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.