Who's betting on “Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $2.25T and $2.50T?”?
Smart money leans No: 100% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 20 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $16K traded all time
- Held now
- $319 by 48 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 80% 41 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 100% 7 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $16K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2028.
The smart money
80% of the money on Yes and 100% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 20 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 20 points. A week ago, No by 32 points.
Who holds it
48 wallets hold a position worth $319 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 48 of them. The largest Yes holder is Zirlo, with $28 on it, $165 lifetime profit over 213 markets (45% won). The largest No holder is KimchiCapital, with $118 on it, $37K lifetime profit over 514 markets (76% won).
- Holders
- 41
- Money on it
- $137
- Holders' win rate
- 56%
- Holders
- 7
- Money on it
- $182
- Holders' win rate
- 64%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$137 on it
- 1Zirlo45% won of 213 · noise$28+$165 lifetime
- 2abba04100% won of 5$22+$518 lifetime
- 387q35hg42875gh4290175842% won of 219 · noise$16+$67 lifetime
- 40x49F20662% won of 862$13−$41K lifetime
- 5xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,242 · noise$8+$255K lifetime
No$182 on it
- 1KimchiCapital76% won of 514 · balanced$118+$37K lifetime
- 2GingerMcKenna36% won of 5,022 · noise$49+$39K lifetime
- 3products49% won of 1,236 · whale$7+$27K lifetime
- 4wert460% won of 696 · balanced$5+$615 lifetime
- 5soliton13759% won of 700 · balanced$2+$31 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be?
5 more- $1.75–$2.00T$106K vol.Yes 34%No 67%Smart money: Yes
- $2.00–$2.25T$48K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- $1.50–$1.75T$48K vol.Yes 54%No 46%Smart money: Yes
- $1.25–$1.50T$16K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- $2.50T+$10K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
Other big finance markets
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$9.2M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?$8.0M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$3.6M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $2.25T and $2.50T?"?
48 wallets hold a position worth $319 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 48 of them. The largest Yes holder is Zirlo, with $28 on it, $165 lifetime profit over 213 markets (45% won). The largest No holder is KimchiCapital, with $118 on it, $37K lifetime profit over 514 markets (76% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $2.25T and $2.50T?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $16K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2028.
Which side is the smart money on?
80% of the money on Yes and 100% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 20 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 20 points. A week ago, No by 32 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.