
Who's betting on “Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 79% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 12 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $48K traded all time
- Held now
- $6.1K by 90 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 79% 58 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 66% 32 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 53¢ and No at 47¢, a 53% implied chance of Yes. $48K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2028.
The smart money
79% of the money on Yes and 66% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 12 points. A day ago it was split. A week ago, Yes by 5 points.
Who holds it
90 wallets hold a position worth $6.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 90 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x2b670A311561DcAF741D8155451774D3Fa7fb814-1778467735876, with $1.9K on it, $27K lifetime profit over 284 markets (65% won). The largest No holder is vinii, with $216 on it, $170K lifetime profit over 1,915 markets (64% won).
- Holders
- 58
- Money on it
- $5.3K
- Holders' win rate
- 64%
- Holders
- 32
- Money on it
- $752
- Holders' win rate
- 55%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$5.3K on it
- 10x2b670A311561DcAF741D8155451774D3Fa7fb814-177846773587665% won of 284 · whale$1.9K+$27K lifetime
- 2KimchiCapital76% won of 514 · balanced$882+$37K lifetime
- 3DancewithRisk70% won of 335 · whale$487+$35K lifetime
- 40x49F20662% won of 862$418−$41K lifetime
- 5a.weidel66% won of 83$241−$10K lifetime
No$752 on it
- 1vinii64% won of 1,915 · whale$216+$170K lifetime
- 2melonmanm58% won of 986 · whale$93+$56K lifetime
- 3xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,235 · noise$87+$255K lifetime
- 4Fihdrzgdd40% won of 3,576$53−$20K lifetime
- 5lissartter56% won of 2,997$48−$287K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be?
5 more- $1.75–$2.00T$106K vol.Yes 34%No 67%Smart money: Yes
- $2.00–$2.25T$48K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- $1.25–$1.50T$16K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- $2.25–$2.50T$16K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- $2.50T+$10K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
Other big finance markets
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$9.2M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?$8.0M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$3.6M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T?"?
90 wallets hold a position worth $6.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 90 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x2b670A311561DcAF741D8155451774D3Fa7fb814-1778467735876, with $1.9K on it, $27K lifetime profit over 284 markets (65% won). The largest No holder is vinii, with $216 on it, $170K lifetime profit over 1,915 markets (64% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 53¢ and No at 47¢, a 53% implied chance of Yes. $48K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2028.
Which side is the smart money on?
79% of the money on Yes and 66% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 12 points. A day ago it was split. A week ago, Yes by 5 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.