Who's betting on “Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 84% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 27 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $106K traded all time
- Held now
- $7.3K by 120 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 84% 72 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 57% 48 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 33¢ and No at 67¢, a 67% implied chance of No. $106K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2028.
The smart money
84% of the money on Yes and 57% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 27 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 19 points. A week ago, Yes by 9 points.
Who holds it
120 wallets hold a position worth $7.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 120 of them. The largest Yes holder is KimchiCapital, with $545 on it, $37K lifetime profit over 514 markets (76% won). The largest No holder is 0x49F206, with $879 on it, $41K lifetime loss over 862 markets (62% won).
- Holders
- 72
- Money on it
- $4.2K
- Holders' win rate
- 63%
- Holders
- 48
- Money on it
- $3.0K
- Holders' win rate
- 62%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$4.2K on it
- 1KimchiCapital76% won of 514 · balanced$545+$37K lifetime
- 2iHaveBeenPwned80% won of 5$530+$2.3K lifetime
- 3Dimpled-Foal85% won of 275 · whale$447+$65K lifetime
- 4DancewithRisk70% won of 335 · whale$352+$35K lifetime
- 5Contentious-Dinnerdate67% won of 1,087 · whale$330+$104K lifetime
No$3.0K on it
- 10x49F20662% won of 862$879−$41K lifetime
- 2SnapElectionAvoider48% won of 2,239 · whale$488+$203K lifetime
- 3dsoperative87% won of 239 · whale$335+$11K lifetime
- 4HerrieDavis63% won of 2,687 · whale$317+$325K lifetime
- 5D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC3893558% won of 935 · whale$134+$85K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be?
5 more- $2.00–$2.25T$48K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- $1.50–$1.75T$48K vol.Yes 54%No 47%Smart money: Yes
- $1.25–$1.50T$16K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- $2.25–$2.50T$16K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- $2.50T+$10K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
Other big finance markets
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$9.2M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?$8.0M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$3.6M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?"?
120 wallets hold a position worth $7.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 120 of them. The largest Yes holder is KimchiCapital, with $545 on it, $37K lifetime profit over 514 markets (76% won). The largest No holder is 0x49F206, with $879 on it, $41K lifetime loss over 862 markets (62% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 33¢ and No at 67¢, a 67% implied chance of No. $106K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2028.
Which side is the smart money on?
84% of the money on Yes and 57% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 27 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 19 points. A week ago, Yes by 9 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.