
Who's betting on “Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $2.00T and $2.25T?”?
Smart money leans No: 84% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 7 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $48K traded all time
- Held now
- $704 by 83 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 77% 63 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 84% 19 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 5¢ and No at 95¢, a 95% implied chance of No. $48K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2028.
The smart money
77% of the money on Yes and 84% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 7 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 6 points. A week ago it was split.
Who holds it
83 wallets hold a position worth $704 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 82 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x5b41…87bf, with $121 on it. The largest No holder is LeChatonFat, with $142 on it, $3.8K lifetime profit over 661 markets (54% won).
- Holders
- 64
- Money on it
- $412
- Holders' win rate
- 56%
- Holders
- 19
- Money on it
- $293
- Holders' win rate
- 52%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$412 on it
- 10x5b41…87bfno record yet$121
- 2DancewithRisk70% won of 335 · whale$34+$35K lifetime
- 3peterfromfamilyguy56% won of 322 · whale$23+$45K lifetime
- 4Zirlo45% won of 213 · noise$23+$165 lifetime
- 5xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,242 · noise$17+$255K lifetime
No$293 on it
- 1LeChatonFat54% won of 661 · whale$142+$3.8K lifetime
- 2GingerMcKenna36% won of 5,022 · noise$48+$39K lifetime
- 30x49F20662% won of 862$45−$41K lifetime
- 4CorArm99969% won of 169$14+$105 lifetime
- 5asdfasd1147% won of 4,754 · balanced$10+$1.1K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be?
5 more- $1.75–$2.00T$106K vol.Yes 34%No 67%Smart money: Yes
- $1.50–$1.75T$48K vol.Yes 54%No 46%Smart money: Yes
- $1.25–$1.50T$16K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- $2.25–$2.50T$16K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- $2.50T+$10K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
Other big finance markets
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$9.2M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?$8.0M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$3.6M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $2.00T and $2.25T?"?
83 wallets hold a position worth $704 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 82 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x5b41…87bf, with $121 on it. The largest No holder is LeChatonFat, with $142 on it, $3.8K lifetime profit over 661 markets (54% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $2.00T and $2.25T?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 5¢ and No at 95¢, a 95% implied chance of No. $48K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2028.
Which side is the smart money on?
77% of the money on Yes and 84% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 7 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 6 points. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.