Who's betting on “Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?”?
Finance · $1.3M volume · Ends November 1, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $1.3M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
71% of the money on Yes and 83% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 11 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 11 points. A week ago, No by 9 points.
676 wallets hold a position worth $152K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 676 of them. The largest Yes holder is betwick, with $49 on it, $636K lifetime profit over 767 markets (56% won). The largest No holder is elmcap2, with $54K on it, $2.1M lifetime profit over 1,083 markets (86% won).
- Smart money share
- 71%
- Holders
- 336
- Money on it
- $456
- Holders' winrate
- 57%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 83%
- Holders
- 340
- Money on it
- $152K
- Holders' winrate
- 83%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| betwickwhale | $49 | +$636K | 56% of 767 |
| touristswhale | $30 | +$629K | 70% of 934 |
| dromedaryywhale | $30 | +$475K | 66% of 50 |
| Nadminoise | $29 | +$147K | 34% of 1,203 |
| AlphaBetaGamma2357whale | $25 | +$71K | 50% of 232 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| elmcap2whale | $54K | +$2.1M | 86% of 1,083 |
| 0xbe044D601FBe89c9E87eACFa57d813A31F783C60-1767997097941 | $12K | -$50K | 92% of 520 |
| Paul973973whale | $11K | +$8.2K | 93% of 1,269 |
| JamesBonder007whale | $8.4K | +$32K | 96% of 125 |
| 0x47E838C90f2C14e599DED20BaC2c98538Ab0fAeE-1775608993061 | $6.7K | +$3.5K | 89% of 9 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in Anthropic IPO by __?
- December 31, 2026$1.4M vol.Yes 78%No 23%Smart money: Yes
- November 30, 2026$465K vol.Yes 65%No 35%Smart money: Yes
- December 15, 2026$272K vol.Yes 74%No 27%Smart money split
- November 15, 2026$226K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- November 20, 2026$18K vol.Yes 26%No 75%Smart money: No
- September 30, 2026$1.1M vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- October 15, 2026$247K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money split
Other big finance markets
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$9.1M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?$8.0M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$3.6M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?"?
676 wallets hold a position worth $152K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 676 of them. The largest Yes holder is betwick, with $49 on it, $636K lifetime profit over 767 markets (56% won). The largest No holder is elmcap2, with $54K on it, $2.1M lifetime profit over 1,083 markets (86% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $1.3M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
71% of the money on Yes and 83% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 11 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 11 points. A week ago, No by 9 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 1, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.