Who's betting on “Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?”?
Finance · $1.4M volume · Ends January 1, 2027 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 77¢ and No at 24¢, a 77% implied chance of Yes. $1.4M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
81% of the money on Yes and 68% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 13 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 12 points. A week ago, Yes by 8 points.
872 wallets hold a position worth $322K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 869 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x91c3…409f, with $25K on it, $15K lifetime profit over 324 markets (42% won). The largest No holder is occasionalAwareness, with $10K on it, $1.1M lifetime profit over 1,003 markets (63% won).
2 snipers (proven, high-edge traders) hold $7.7K on Yes; 1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $1.1K on No.
- Smart money share
- 81% ▲ 2 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 548
- Money on it
- $246K
- Holders' winrate
- 69%
- Snipers
- 2 · $7.7K
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 68%
- Holders
- 324
- Money on it
- $76K
- Holders' winrate
- 67%
- Snipers
- 1 · $1.1K
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x91c3…409f | $25K | +$15K | 42% of 324 |
| thoodrwhale | $17K | +$91K | 96% of 810 |
| Erasmus.whale | $16K | +$204K | 70% of 828 |
| TheReturnOfDarthMaulwhale | $15K | +$1.6M | 60% of 1,014 |
| aenews2whale | $13K | +$2.3M | 73% of 1,114 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| occasionalAwarenesswhale | $10K | +$1.1M | 63% of 1,003 |
| ThisAgain | $7.0K | -$692K | 93% of 14 |
| BigMackyGwhale | $4.6K | +$74K | 71% of 221 |
| anoin123 | $4.3K | -$4.9M | 60% of 1,429 |
| 0x4dF63E746b71d3a8e | $3.2K | +$14K | 80% of 5 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in Anthropic IPO by __?
- October 31, 2026$1.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- November 30, 2026$465K vol.Yes 65%No 35%Smart money: Yes
- December 15, 2026$271K vol.Yes 74%No 27%Smart money split
- November 15, 2026$226K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- November 20, 2026$18K vol.Yes 25%No 75%Smart money: No
- September 30, 2026$1.1M vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- October 15, 2026$247K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money split
Other big finance markets
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$9.1M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?$8.0M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$3.6M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?"?
872 wallets hold a position worth $322K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 869 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x91c3…409f, with $25K on it, $15K lifetime profit over 324 markets (42% won). The largest No holder is occasionalAwareness, with $10K on it, $1.1M lifetime profit over 1,003 markets (63% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 77¢ and No at 24¢, a 77% implied chance of Yes. $1.4M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
81% of the money on Yes and 68% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 13 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 12 points. A week ago, Yes by 8 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.