Who's betting on “Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026?”?
Finance · $18K volume · Ends November 21, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 25¢ and No at 75¢, a 75% implied chance of No. $18K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 21, 2026.
64% of the money on Yes and 76% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 12 points.
55 wallets hold a position worth $5.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 54 of them. The largest Yes holder is KimchiCapital, with $535 on it, $36K lifetime profit over 458 markets (76% won). The largest No holder is Tenebrus7, with $778 on it, $155K lifetime profit over 1,516 markets (66% won).
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $362 on No.
- Smart money share
- 64%
- Holders
- 29
- Money on it
- $1.4K
- Holders' winrate
- 60%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 76%
- Holders
- 26
- Money on it
- $4.3K
- Holders' winrate
- 67%
- Snipers
- 1 · $362
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| KimchiCapitalbalanced | $535 | +$36K | 76% of 458 |
| Haradwaith | $312 | -$334K | 50% of 45,650 |
| bigdihhh888 | $110 | -$66K | 45% of 9,242 |
| 0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495noise | $71 | +$318K | 22% of 11,530 |
| K80PRObalanced | $60 | +$393 | 53% of 474 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tenebrus7whale | $778 | +$155K | 66% of 1,516 |
| 0x47E838C90f2C14e599DED20BaC2c98538Ab0fAeE-1775608993061 | $745 | +$3.5K | 89% of 9 |
| M2sx92kljs42whale | $607 | +$63K | 78% of 514 |
| 0x7272c0D9478Ef6447f48A20a7Db2839A61A4a67d-1735227193318sniper | $362 | +$20K | 78% of 76 |
| ZhouCD | $332 | -$14K | 50% of 2,070 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in Anthropic IPO by __?
- December 31, 2026$1.4M vol.Yes 77%No 24%Smart money: Yes
- October 31, 2026$1.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- November 30, 2026$465K vol.Yes 65%No 35%Smart money: Yes
- December 15, 2026$271K vol.Yes 74%No 27%Smart money split
- November 15, 2026$226K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- September 30, 2026$1.1M vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- October 15, 2026$247K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money split
Other big finance markets
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$9.1M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?$8.0M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$3.6M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026?"?
55 wallets hold a position worth $5.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 54 of them. The largest Yes holder is KimchiCapital, with $535 on it, $36K lifetime profit over 458 markets (76% won). The largest No holder is Tenebrus7, with $778 on it, $155K lifetime profit over 1,516 markets (66% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 25¢ and No at 75¢, a 75% implied chance of No. $18K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 21, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
64% of the money on Yes and 76% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 12 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 21, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.