Who's betting on “Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?”?
Finance · $272K volume · Ends December 16, 2026 · Updated October 25, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 74¢ and No at 27¢, a 74% implied chance of Yes. $272K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 16, 2026.
73% of the money on Yes and 73% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, Yes by 12 points.
239 wallets hold a position worth $60K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 237 of them. The largest Yes holder is TheReturnOfDarthMaul, with $8.8K on it, $1.6M lifetime profit over 1,014 markets (60% won). The largest No holder is notssf3, with $3.2K on it, $74K lifetime profit over 210 markets (66% won).
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $2.2K on Yes.
- Smart money share
- 73%
- Holders
- 121
- Money on it
- $44K
- Holders' winrate
- 68%
- Snipers
- 1 · $2.2K
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 73%
- Holders
- 118
- Money on it
- $16K
- Holders' winrate
- 65%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| TheReturnOfDarthMaulwhale | $8.8K | +$1.6M | 60% of 1,014 |
| Ume-Chang | $5.8K | -$9.6K | 92% of 566 |
| betwickwhale | $4.2K | +$636K | 56% of 767 |
| ethhte | $2.5K | +$24K | 67% of 9 |
| akimbogodwhale | $2.3K | +$29K | 71% of 133 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| notssf3whale | $3.2K | +$74K | 66% of 210 |
| hypebot2balanced | $1.2K | +$2.2K | 82% of 22 |
| 0x8712 | $1.1K | -$4.3K | 64% of 203 |
| momhotwallet | $1.1K | +$0 | - |
| Minteamadebalanced | $999 | +$1.0K | 79% of 200 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in Anthropic IPO by __?
- December 31, 2026$1.4M vol.Yes 78%No 23%Smart money: Yes
- October 31, 2026$1.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- November 30, 2026$465K vol.Yes 65%No 36%Smart money: Yes
- November 15, 2026$226K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- November 20, 2026$19K vol.Yes 26%No 75%Smart money: No
- September 30, 2026$1.1M vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- October 15, 2026$247K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money split
Other big finance markets
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$9.1M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?$8.0M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$3.6M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?"?
239 wallets hold a position worth $60K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 237 of them. The largest Yes holder is TheReturnOfDarthMaul, with $8.8K on it, $1.6M lifetime profit over 1,014 markets (60% won). The largest No holder is notssf3, with $3.2K on it, $74K lifetime profit over 210 markets (66% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 74¢ and No at 27¢, a 74% implied chance of Yes. $272K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 16, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
73% of the money on Yes and 73% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, Yes by 12 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on December 16, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.