Who's betting on “Will annual inflation be 3.8% in September?”?
Smart money leans No: 87% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 30 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $22K traded all time
- Held now
- $5.8K by 88 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 57% 53 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 87% 35 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
This market closed on October 14, 2026 and resolved No. $22K has been traded on it.
The smart money
57% of the money on Yes and 87% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 30 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 26 points. A week ago, No by 30 points.
Who holds it
88 wallets hold a position worth $5.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 88 of them.
- Holders
- 53
- Money on it
- $10
- Holders' win rate
- 46%
- Holders
- 35
- Money on it
- $5.8K
- Holders' win rate
- 57%
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in September Inflation US - Annual
11 more- 3.6%$46K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- 3.7%$37K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: Yes
- 3.5%$32K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- 3.9%$29K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- 3.4%$26K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- ≥4.0%$20K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- 3.3%$15K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money split
- 3.1%$13K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money split
- 3.0%$12K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- 3.2%$12K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- ≤2.9%$11K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money split
Other big economy markets
- US recession by end of 2026?$2.4M vol.Yes 6%No 95%Smart money: No
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?$1.8M vol.Yes 22%No 79%Smart money split
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.8M vol.Yes 77%No 24%Smart money split
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.5M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Another Fed rate hike in 2026?$1.2M vol.Yes 78%No 23%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.0M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?$324K vol.Yes 31%No 70%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will annual inflation be 3.8% in September?"?
88 wallets hold a position worth $5.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 88 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will annual inflation be 3.8% in September?"?
This market closed on October 14, 2026 and resolved No. $22K has been traded on it.
Which side is the smart money on?
57% of the money on Yes and 87% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 30 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 26 points. A week ago, No by 30 points.
When does this market end?
This market closed on October 14, 2026 and resolved No. $22K has been traded on it.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.