Who's betting on “Will annual inflation be 3.7% in October?”?
Smart money leans No: 60% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 31 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $13K traded all time
- Held now
- $3.3K by 64 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 29% 26 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 60% 38 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 90¢ and No at 11¢, a 90% implied chance of Yes. $13K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 11, 2026.
The smart money
29% of the money on Yes and 60% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 31 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 32 points.
Who holds it
64 wallets hold a position worth $3.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 64 of them. The largest Yes holder is 7418399, with $1.3K on it, $3.6K lifetime loss over 126 markets (67% won). The largest No holder is xtxpleasecallme, with $50 on it, $254K lifetime profit over 123,511 markets (40% won).
- Holders
- 26
- Money on it
- $3.2K
- Holders' win rate
- 58%
- Holders
- 38
- Money on it
- $172
- Holders' win rate
- 51%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$3.2K on it
- 1741839967% won of 126$1.3K−$3.6K lifetime
- 21773597746% won of 231 · balanced$635+$4.5K lifetime
- 3nj23adsknml350% won of 204$627−$5.0K lifetime
- 4Haradwaith50% won of 54,248$171−$378K lifetime
- 5Stonktrader94% won of 250 · whale$92+$98K lifetime
No$172 on it
- 1xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,511 · noise$50+$254K lifetime
- 2lissartter56% won of 2,997$18−$287K lifetime
- 3Ipredictthemarket38% won of 37 · noise$16+$720 lifetime
- 4erdos-baconator58% won of 699 · balanced$15+$588 lifetime
- 5geylord2086% won of 111$12−$53 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
Other big economy markets
- US recession by end of 2026?$2.4M vol.Yes 6%No 95%Smart money: No
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?$1.8M vol.Yes 22%No 79%Smart money split
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.8M vol.Yes 77%No 24%Smart money split
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.6M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.4M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Another Fed rate hike in 2026?$1.2M vol.Yes 78%No 23%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.0M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?$324K vol.Yes 31%No 70%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will annual inflation be 3.7% in October?"?
64 wallets hold a position worth $3.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 64 of them. The largest Yes holder is 7418399, with $1.3K on it, $3.6K lifetime loss over 126 markets (67% won). The largest No holder is xtxpleasecallme, with $50 on it, $254K lifetime profit over 123,511 markets (40% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will annual inflation be 3.7% in October?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 90¢ and No at 11¢, a 90% implied chance of Yes. $13K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 11, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
29% of the money on Yes and 60% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 31 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 32 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 11, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.